Miscellaneous News

Bellum_Romanum

Brigadier
Registered Member
You must have the memory of a goldfish or western media.

Russia tried everything else first, even a preferential trade deal with Ukraine, just like China did with ECFA with Taiwan.

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15B euros and 40% natural gas discount is gigantic for Ukraine. The eurobonds alone was 10% of their entire GDP at the time. There is no country in the world that will loan you that.

Ukraine then had a coup, which overthrew president Yakunovich, and turned extremely hostile towards Russia. And Donbass then seceded. Why? Because the ethnic Russians there cannot tolerate rejection of a 10% GDP loan and 40% natural gas discount and further repression of their ethnic identity, when Ukraine was already only at 1/4 Russian GDP per capita in 2014.

It was only then that Russia made it's move on Crimea, where the Ukrainian forces collapsed within hours.
I must admit that I wasn't particularly aware of these diplomatic and economic activities Russia tried with Ukraine. Most, if not all the impressions I have on the whole Russia vs Ukraine debacle were shaped exclusively from western sources and figures I looked up to at some point.
 

FairAndUnbiased

Brigadier
Registered Member
If Erdogan wants to continue on his Ottoman project, he is going to go after the US-backed Kurds, then Lebanon, then Iraq, and later on, Egypt. The US and Israel are not gonna allow him to become too powerful. Russia might just play behind the shadows for awhile, and Iran will try to intervene in Lebanon and Iraq. If he expands his Pan-Turkic Empire agenda to Xinjiang once again, he will also have China to contend with.

Erdogan enjoys playing around with the US, Russia, and China for fools. He is going to overstretch one day and the superpowers are going to come after him and burn his Ottoman project to the ground.
Iraq is the demographic opposite of Syria: historically a Sunni minority ruling a Shia majority, now under Shia total control. And they have a long, porous border with Iran.
 

Biscuits

Major
Registered Member
The situation on the Taiwan island is not very optimistic either.
There are some unsettling signs in Europe: Eastern Europe is overturning the foundation of 'One China', and countries like the Czech and Lithuania have very stubborn attitudes.

From the perspective of practical communication, the young people on the island are very cunning. They take advantage of the mentality of those stupid mainland bureaucrats who only care about false political achievements to promote the so-called "national identity" in Chinese Mainland, but when they return to the island, their position changes 180 degrees and they laugh at those "stupid Chinese". There are many executors who only understand policies as formalism, and they have no patience to investigate and screen. They only invite some Taiwanese people, take photos and videos, release news,and then their "task" are completed.

Various signs indicate that the role of "other ways other than brute force" is very limited, and they have sufficient ability to disintegrate the influence from the mainland under the DPP's control of the national machinery.
DPP is a degraded version of the fascist organization, and they even want to emulate Yoon Seok yeol by arresting those uncooperative opposition parties. DPP also holds a group of stubborn and fanatical young supporters, effectively suppressing the nationalist unification faction through public opinion violence.

Don't have too high expectations for those corrupt bureaucrats. The peaceful path has become a politically correct slogan that ignores reality. The leadership has no effective means other than military deterrence.
No, the DPP is extremely stupid. Instead of building up forces and industry during the frozen conflict, they're busy seeking low yield yapping from officials in places like Lithuania.

The purpose of "One China" is to buy time to prepare China's military and industry.

Instead of trying to keep pace, DPP let itself be seduced by "One China", thinking that Taiwan can leave without a fight as long as they get enough nobodies to say the magic words to overturn "One China".

What does DPP actually think will happen once One China is broken? If you look at their behavior, it seems like full on nihilism has set in and there is no planning whatsoever on how to stop the government's guaranteed counteroffensive. "Efforts" like black bear academy was shown time and time again to just be cynical cash grabs... The prevailing DPP actions are like rats trying to gorge themselves while the ship sinks.
 

Africablack

Junior Member
Registered Member
You must have the memory of a goldfish or western media.

Russia tried everything else first, even a preferential trade deal with Ukraine, just like China did with ECFA with Taiwan.

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

15B euros and 40% natural gas discount is gigantic for Ukraine. The eurobonds alone was 10% of their entire GDP at the time. There is no country in the world that will loan you that.

Ukraine then had a coup, which overthrew president Yakunovich, and turned extremely hostile towards Russia. And Donbass then seceded. Why? Because the ethnic Russians there cannot tolerate rejection of a 10% GDP loan and 40% natural gas discount and further repression of their ethnic identity, when Ukraine was already only at 1/4 Russian GDP per capita in 2014.

It was only then that Russia made it's move on Crimea, where the Ukrainian forces collapsed within hours.
So you think waiting until the last minute to sign deals so as not to lose Ukraine to the west is satisfactory enough? Reminds me of the last days of the Soviet Union when Gorbachev and crew were trying to figure out how to transition to multiparty democracy after years of ignoring the signs of trouble and seemingly oblivious to the disintegration around them. Russian leadership aren't serious, intelligent but don't possess strategic thinking. Outside of Peter the Great and Stalin they have a fold arm, do nothing wait-and-see attitude, Peter the Great had to go against the grain and use force of personality to get reforms done (many of which were undone after his death), and Stalin had to use purges as a means of meritocratic rotation and get rid of stupid people who were so bound by ideology they closed their eyes to reality.

I'm yet to understand what Russia is going to get out of conquering Ukraine. So far their actions have united the west against it, gained two new members in NATO (one of which is on their border), stretched themselves thin they couldn't help a key ally in the Mid East and made themselves almost completely dependent on China as an economic life line. It was a stupid adventure I'm willing to bet Putin regrets. If you want to confront the west you never play the game they want you to play.
 
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