I am often confused by the exercises Army and Marines that center around fighting a ground war with China. Just where do they envision this ground war to take place? In Taiwan or in China, or both?
It'd be wildly unrealistic to take other parts of China if they can't even secure a beach head in Taiwan.
If Taiwan, what if Taiwan refuses American military to come onshore full-force because they fear a clash of two big army forces will simply turn Taiwan into a smoldering wasteland,
If China cannot stop Americans at the shore, it pretty much guarantees most of the province (at least where there's fighting) will be turned into a wasteland. China isn't gonna let America occupy and exploit Chinese land, they'll scorched earth all the way back to more defensible positions in Fujian if PLA can't hold Taiwan.
does that mean US will invade Taiwan anyways just to prevent a China take-over? And if China, does US really think invading China is a good idea (or even an viable idea?) I guess they could invade and take over islands in SCS. But that would that accomplish? The same exposure that allows them to invade and perhaps succeed also exposes them to the counter that will inevitable come. So what are these ground-war exercises really telling us?
Ultimately a lot of the US territorial threats in Taiwan is just lashing out over an unfavorable geopolitical climate. Military size is the only major measure of power that US isn't 2nd place in, so they've defaulted to using it as bargaining chip. China's interior politics present possibility for chaos or even justification for war if US wants it, but they are clearly hesitant because even the most deluded among them know it would be extremely difficult or impossible to invade.
US will be trying to use, inflame or even military intervene in contradictions inside China or China's sphere in general, just as China has been doing to US' sphere. But a total war confrontation with US military officially attacking China's home territories is different, it would be too risky, it would require a lunatic to be in charge of the white house.