My Story does not involve Taiwan. This is a hypothetical situation of what would happen should China enter the war on terror, and a possible scenario of a Chinese "Small War".
The Story begins with an Islamic revolution in Tajikstan. The former government is sent into exile in Kazachstan. The new Islamic republic of Tajikstan openly attacks the U.S. war on terror and China's suppression of muslim Uighurs in Xijiang. But it assures the world it has no intention of harbouring terrorists. China is relieved, but remains suspicous of the new government, as does America.
One year later, the Bejing Olympics in 2008 get under way. A peaceful scene of sportsmanship. Then suddenly, 9 Al-Qaeda militants take 12 American Athletes hostage in their quarters in the Bejing Olympic Village, in a similar Scenario to the Black September incident during the 1972 Munich Olympics. But this time, Chinese security forces are well prepared. In a cleverly planned operation, PAP Special Police succeed in rescuing all of the captured Athletes, after the U.S. government offers a Captured terrorist at the hostage building and convinces the militants they will be flown to wherever they want. This distracts them, allowing the special police to silently kill 4 of the militants and rescue the athletes. A firefight results, but the Special Police receivr hrlp from a PLA Special forces team which ropes in by helicopter and clears the building. Two of the athletes are injured, but none are dead. Two days later, Osama Bin Laden releases a tape justifying the attacks and saying no U.S. citizen is safe. He also threatens attacks on China if it gets involved in the war.
But China does not heed the warning. It sends troops into Xijiang, which manage to capture members of Al-Qaeda who organised the Olympic attacks in the area. Not surprisingly, Bin Laden threatens attacks.
In October 2009, several roadside bombs are set off at the PRC 60th Anniversary Military Parade in a co-ordinated attack. At the same, 60 Al-Qaeda militants stage a Muslim revolt in Urumqi. The revolt is quickly put down by the PLA and its leaders shot. Hu Jintao calls for "swift Vengeance" against the "Muslim Bandits". Terrorist leaders captured in Bejing and Urumqi are traced to Tajikstan. The PRC demands that Tajikstan hands over any terrorists that it is now known to be sheltering.
In a cheeky and defiant response, the Tajik president calls for proof that the Al-Qaeda terrorists he is sheltering are responsible and says China is "no America" and should not be policing the world.
He has naively underestimated the Chinese. On 25th October 2009, China launches a Blitzkreig style invasion of Tajikstan. Seven Chinese armoured divisions, consisting mostly of T-96 tanks spearheaded by T-99s, cross the border and advance into eastern Tajikstan. At the same time, Chinese Paratroops land in the west of the country and are suppourted by Afghan troops from the south (The Afghan government has accused Tajikstan of aiding Taliban militants in Afghanistan). The Tajik arny is quickly overwhelmed in the west, but paramilitary groups harass Chinese armoured collumns in mountain passes. These groups often ambush armoured collumns in the mountains using RPGs and other anti-tank weapons, creating a similar problem that the Red Army faced in Afghanistan. To combat this, the Chinese develop the "Dustpan and Brush" tactic. This involves helicopters such as the WZ-10 patrolling ahead of the armoured collumns, out of range of RPGs and shoulder launched missiles. They detect groups of guerillas using thermal inagery, and then perfrom strafing attacks, driving the attackers from their hiding places (The Brush), who are then mopped up by light infantry (The Dustpan). The PLA often sends light infantry patrols into areas where ambushes occur. Often the Infantry carry out more stealthy sneak attacks on the guerillas - this is usually carried out by PLA special forces.
The PLAAF bombs enemy airbases and ground forces, but cities are not bombed - China does not want to make the same mistakes made in the Iraq war. The Chinese aerial bombing campaign is brief and on a much smaller scale than American style precision bombing - the assualt is mostly carried out on the ground by armoured collumns which capture key targets. But large precision ARM strikes are carried out on the Tajik air defence system, usually by Su-30s equipped with Kh-31s. The enemy air defence and command system mostly relies on old soviet equipment, and is quickly destroyed. The largest air attcks are against enemy air bases - these are usually attacked by low-level precision attacks by Su-30s, Q-5E/Fs or JH-7s. TV guided missiles and bombs are used to devestating effect, and prove to be more reliable than Chinese LGBs. The airfields are also attacked using KD-63 missiles fired from H-6s. Another method used on airbases and ground forces involves heavy carpet bombings carried out by Tu-22s or H-6s. These methods cripple the Tajik air force, allowing the Chinese to enjoy much air superiority.
Dushanbe airport is quickly captured by the Paratroops and in a well planned airlift, 120 Chinese aircraft land there (including 80 Y-8s and 40 IL-76s) carrying troops and equipment. These troops then advance east from the capital, but remaining Tajik forces (now encircled) prove a challenge. So a second massive airlift is launched. On 27th November 2009, the rumble of Antonov engines is heard in Dushanbe. 12 huge Antonov-70M transport aircraft land at the airport. These are the new versions of the original aircraft that were enlargened and fitted with jet engines in China - the Chinese and Russians both bought this new aircraft, and the PLA is now putting it to good use. Four of the planes carry more helicopters, APCs and tanks for the ground forces - but the others carry PLZ45 and PLZ05 self-propelled artillery, as well as several PLL01 heavy artillery pieces. These are intended to provide heavy suppourt to the Type 66 and Type 89 light artillery already deployed by the PLA forces in the country. Sure enough, under this heavy firepower, the main Tajik army in the centre of the country crumbles completely. Chinese armoured collumns soon sweep west and the two forces are joined.
The U.S. is at first unsure how to respond to the invasion. But eventually the newly elected president Hillary Clinton decides to suppourt China's actions, since it has released the North Korean war criminals that it airlifted during the fall of Pyongyang. In a summit with President Hu in Bejing, she gives China the green light to push further into Tajikstan, and pledges full suppourt, but urges China to avoid civillian casualties. She also invites Chinese troops to fight alongside Western forces in Afghanistan (the coalition has withdrawn from Iraq). Hu accepts the invitation and announces that China will now join the U.S. in the war on terror, pledging that "the Justice of the Chinese and American people will be brought down upon the heads of the Islamic butchers". He also announces that the PLA will enter the tribal regions of Waziristan to probe for Al-Qaeda leaders. Another mass airlift transports Chinese troops and equipment to Afghanistan, while in Pakistan, President Musharraf allows PLA troops to establish bases in his country, from which they comb the tribal regions.
Meanwhile, a PLA "DaDui" special forces team, aided by CIA operatives, launch an operation to capture members of the Tajik government, inlcuding the President, who have retreated to a state palace in the northwest of the country. The group storms the palace in a stealthy attack, and succeeds in capturing the president and his cabinet, as well as several Al-Qaeda leaders. They are then taken back to China and imprisoned. The former government is returned to power, which is welcomed by the Tajik people, since Islamic rule caused economic problems and a loss of freedom, and was not suppourted by the people.
The final and largest battle is at the seocnd largest city of Khudzhand in the North-west, which is still held by memebers of the former regime. The PLA sends its elite armoured and light infantry divisions, including those equipped with the T-99 MBT, to deal with Khudzhand.
Tajik tank divisions, equipped with T-72s rumble out to meet the PLA. They mount a brave defense, resulting in the largest tank battle since the Gulf war of 1991, but they are no match for the Chinese tanks. They enter the city, and are met with fierce resistance, including suicide bombings. But superior Chinese air power and ground strength wins the battle.
The Tajik conflict ends on 30th January 2009, with Chinese losses of 2,000 and Tajik losses of over 10,000. Limited insurgency is carried out afterwards, but it is unsuppourted by the people, especially after scores of Islamic pilgrims are killed as a result of a car bombing directed at a Chinese convoy. Only 3,000 Chinese troops remain in Tajikstan (mostly to provide suppourt to Tajik security forces to deal with remaining militant groups, while national security forces maintain order elsewhere), and Chinese troops withdraw quickly. But the PLA maintains a prescence in Afghanistan and Waziristan.
2 years later, Chinese Special forces, working in conjuction with U.S. intellignece in the border area of Waziristan succeed in capturing Osama Bin Laden and His deputy, Ayman Al-Zawahiri - hiding in a toilet block in a small village - this is a humiliation for the terrorist group, and Bin Laden goes from being a hero among Islamic extermists to an object of ridicule and scorn in the Islamic world. There is a brief minifeud between Washington and Bejing as to whether Bin Laden should serve his prison sentence in either country. Eventually he is tried in the U.S. and Serves life prison sentences in both countries. But Afghanistan and Waziristan still remain a quagmire for the U.S. and China, since the Taliban are still fighting for power, and China soon has to send more troops to Waziristan, which quickly becomes the PRC's equivalent ot the Iraq war - not quite what Afghanistan was for the Soviet union, but it is still a costly war. But Hu is determined to fight on, since Al-Qaeda still has a prescence in the border region. Islamic terrorism remains, but the damaged reputation of Al-Qaeda has left it in the shadow of its former glorly - but it is still fighting on.