Lessons for China to learn from Ukraine conflict for Taiwan scenario

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FriedButter

FriedButter

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vincent said:
You know Taiwan has to import like 90% of the food and pretty much all fossil fuels from outside, right?
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And how long would it take for food supplies to deplete combined with harsh rationing? Pretty sure we discussed it before on the other thread that Taiwan isn’t the issue but the problem was with Western intervention. We don’t know how long Taiwan can stretch their supplies and resources to buy time for a Western intervention. Alongside the risk that the ROC military can join in and act as a human shield during that intervention.
 
S

Serb

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FriedButter said:
And how long would it take for food supplies to deplete combined with harsh rationing? Pretty sure we discussed it before on the other thread that Taiwan isn’t the issue but the problem was with Western intervention. We don’t know how long Taiwan can stretch their supplies and resources to buy time for a Western intervention. Alongside the risk that the ROC military can join in and act as a human shield during that intervention.
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They can last for a few months only. They will probably experience hyperinflation.

Maybe the government has strategic reserves, but what about the private sector?

They are bound to get inflation, economic slowdown and then they will surrender.
 
vincent

vincent

Grumpy Old Man
Staff member
Moderator - World Affairs
FriedButter said:
And how long would it take for food supplies to deplete combined with harsh rationing? Pretty sure we discussed it before on the other thread that Taiwan isn’t the issue but the problem was with Western intervention. We don’t know how long Taiwan can stretch their supplies and resources to buy time for a Western intervention. Alongside the risk that the ROC military can join in and act as a human shield during that intervention.
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Lessons for China to learn from Ukraine conflict for Taiwan scenario

Whether or not China should try and end the war with Taiwan fast or slow should depend on China’s ability to maintain a blockade. The US landing troops in Taiwan is the same as the enemy sending reinforcements to a castle siege. If China has the ability to maintain its blockade indefinitely then...
www.sinodefenceforum.com

PLA will target fuel depots and power stations in the bombardment. Can't transport food around the island. No electricity nor natural gas to cook the food. No clean water. No garbage collection.
 
FriedButter

FriedButter

Colonel
Registered Member
vincent said:

Lessons for China to learn from Ukraine conflict for Taiwan scenario

Whether or not China should try and end the war with Taiwan fast or slow should depend on China’s ability to maintain a blockade. The US landing troops in Taiwan is the same as the enemy sending reinforcements to a castle siege. If China has the ability to maintain its blockade indefinitely then...
www.sinodefenceforum.com

PLA will target fuel depots and power stations in the bombardment. Can't transport food around the island. No electricity nor natural gas to cook the food. No clean water. No garbage collection.
Click to expand...

Are we talking about a blockade combined with PLA attacks or just a blockade without PLA attacks?

I was under the assumption we are talking about a blockade with no offensive military actions.
 
B

Biscuits

Major
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Petrolicious88 said:
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But China can’t support Russia?
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Limitation in sending "branded" stuff like Polonez-M, DF series, GJ-2 etc is entirely because as long as Putin aren't losing, he ain't gonna want Chinese artillery and drones to lead the charge, because its gonna look shit for his country.

As for unbranded stuff like what Russia needs to build more missiles, suicide drones, nvg and plates for their troops, Russia already receives from China what they need to support their scale of operation.
 
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