solarz
Brigadier
Fixed it for you.
You mean the two countries that together comprise a third of the world's population and GDP? Oh noes!
Lessons for China to learn from Ukraine conflict for Taiwan scenario
- Thread starter tphuang
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Fixed it for you.
You mean the two countries that together comprise a third of the world's population and GDP? Oh noes!
If Japan joins the war on the US side I can see NK allowing overflight by PLAAF aircraft and missiles attacking Japan, although this might be on an "oh no, we couldn't stop them because our air defences are so outdated, BTW if you attack us we'll nuke you" basis.
NK is bound to defend China as much as the reverse is true.
If its central government army alone vs KMT army alone, NK are not obliged to help because China is not being attacked by a foreign state. But the moment any third party like US or Japan joins in, NK will do something.
If SK stays strictly neutral, it's true that NK can't contribute all that much, but they can still be used. They can add a bit of missile firepower, and their special forces could help during eventual landing operations.
I meant both, all forms of NV illumination in general actually (not just for the infantry either, but even gunships/vehicles can provide IR illumination to ground forces).
The point was that illumination works both ways, like tracers, and all the wars which have used them so far have been those in which only 1 side was NV capable.
That's true and I agree, thermals would be the way to go in a modern peer war. If China has a higher penetration of thermals in its infantry it will have an advantage in infantry engagements. Although, I'm not sure about the drawbacks of thermals with regards to battery requirements though, it would consume more power and is more expensive in general, but if China has made thermals efficient and mass produced them for its infantry, that's kool. I'm not sure how good the US infantry is with thermal penetration, it's probably not that common right now.
All of this is kind of a moot point anyway for the US/Taiwan/China war though, even though it's an interesting problem set for the infantry to deal with, infantry is going to be basically irrelevant in such a war.
Maybe.
For that to work though, US will need to convince the current ROC government to declare independence and its allies (preferably all of Nato states for sufficient traction) to stake their support at the same time. When do you reckon this will happen and how do you think the optics will look?
Let's refer to these world maps on the Russo/ukraine conflict for reference:
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as we've seen from German's continued gas imports from Russia. Are countries whose largest trade partner is China willing to put their money where their mouth is? Or leaving aside ideology, think you can beat the free market?
Even if Taiwan declares independence today, china will not rush to war right now. China will wait until the time is ripe before it starts a war. Ukraine is an independent country but it doesn't make a difference. War still happens. It is best for china to get a truckload of type 95, 96, 055a, winglong 3, loyalman drone, uuv, hypersonic drone, dark sword, many nukes etc before they go to war. The year 2035 is when china modernized itself with these new weapons. In 2040 china has to ability to push US all the way back to hawaii. US has 7 shipyards while china has 17 shipyards. How can you compete
US has the watch but China has the time
Independence means nothing. It doesn't make your gdp double instantly or 10xstronger. In the history of mankind sovereign country gets invaded or beaten to a pulp. The mongols invaded a full sovereign china back in the 1300s too
I got an ISS station to sell to you. If you think the political system in China will survive after letting Taiwan declare independences for 20 years.
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