Lessons for China to learn from Ukraine conflict for Taiwan scenario

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AndrewS

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There is no need to destroy mobile phone masts. They will not work without electricity (no backend network)

5G networks don't necessarily need a backend network.

A lot more of the processing and direct communication happens at the edge.
 

Nilou

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I also think rebuilding will be cheaper in the long run, after all construction is one of the strengths China is proud of. Plus I think many parts of the island could use a makeover.
 

daifo

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5G networks don't necessarily need a backend network.

A lot more of the processing and direct communication happens at the edge.

5G transmitter typically needs electrical power and are connected by optical to the backend. For special or emergency events, they can roll mobile towers that can get power from a generator and could use some sat tech or direct line of sight tech to build a data bridge.
 

bjj_starter

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Then there's no point in the US going to war with China or the US continuing a war against China.
I don't think your characterisation of the US course of action is correct. For one, the US would definitely intervene if the war started tomorrow. Intervention is guaranteed unless Taiwan does something extremely stupid, like declaring independence. Chinese conduct during the reunification war will not affect whether the US intervenes or not; it is going to intervene.

Also, the status of Taiwan would not (imo) affect whether or not the US continues the war. The US doesn't care about Taiwan as such, beyond what Taiwan means to the larger military goal of the US: containing China, and ensuring US supremacy in the Western Pacific. China could bomb Taiwan so much that every single Taiwanese person died and the US would still try and take Taiwan if it was militarily able to. They would want to control it even if it was a nuclear wasteland, because it's use to them is to militarily contain China. The US's wargoals are not to liberate Taiwan or keep Taiwan free, so seeing an imminent collapse of Taiwanese society that can only be resolved by peace would not deter them. The US's goals are to, as much as possible, clip China's wings, contain China geographically, and maintain military control of the western Pacific. None of those goals are achieved by letting the PRC take and keep control of Taiwan, and the fact that that would be the only realistic way to solve the humanitarian crisis would be irrelevant.
 

bjj_starter

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Now I think about it, gas stations probably will not work without electricity either (no working pumps), unless they all have diesel generators
You are correct. Unless they have working generators gas stations require mains electricity to function.
 

supersnoop

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I wouldn't expect a China-Taiwan settlement to be particularly harsh and for it to be similar to Hong Kong.
For example, Taiwanese semiconductor engineers are paid 3x more in China than in Taiwan.
In the aftermath, it's essentially a single market, but which still has a huge shortage of skilled semiconductor staff.
So I expect wages for semiconductor engineers in Taiwan to easily double.

If the settlement was going to be like HK, then everyone would be better off without fighting, lol. That was already offered without the threat of war.

Remember the heavy resistance UK put up during the HK handover? Thatcher fought the concrete steps of the Great Hall of the People with much gusto.
 

AndrewS

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If the settlement was going to be like HK, then everyone would be better off without fighting, lol. That was already offered without the threat of war.

Remember the heavy resistance UK put up during the HK handover? Thatcher fought the concrete steps of the Great Hall of the People with much gusto.

Yes, a political settlement without a war is preferred. And likely in the future as China amasses more power
 
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