Ladakh Flash Point

Sardaukar20 said:

Militarily, China can deal with India. But I don't know what are China's prospects on the diplomatic front. I would predict a lot of cheer leading for India from the West, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and Vietnam. India would be portrayed as 'Rocky' going up against 'Ivan Drago' China. Sanctions, boycotts, and more anti-China hate are almost guaranteed for China. India could get a boost of unjustified international prestige, further inflating their already bloated ego.

The problem is Russia. Could Russia join in on cheer leading India to boost the glory of Russian weaponry? India is after all Russia's no.1 defence client. While China is Russia's most important economic and geo-strategic partner, could China pressure Russia to halt military supplies to India? Looking at how Russia's MIC is so sacred to the nation, and its precarious economy, its hard to predict Russia's decision here.

Click to expand...

Breadbox said:

I’ve heard alot about of this period between September and November where the snow will seal off the mountains and how it is the most likely time for India to make a move.

Can someone explain why this would be the case, the video mention this but doesn’t really explain why.

Click to expand...

Breadbox said:

I’ve heard alot about of this period between September and November where the snow will seal off the mountains and how it is the most likely time for India to make a move.

Can someone explain why this would be the case, the video mention this but doesn’t really explain why.

Click to expand...

localizer said:

How can Russia help India? There is no direct route.

Russia plays everyone against each other. Don't expect them to really help anyone.

Click to expand...

Sardaukar20 said:

Russia would ship defence supplies to India by sea off course. Doesn't matter how long it takes, just that it arrives in India.
Obviously China could not stop these shipments by force.

Trustworthy or not, Russia is China's most important geostrategic partner now, and in the near future. If this India-China complicates China-Russian ties. This is just what Uncle Sam needs.

Click to expand...

Sardaukar20 said:

Russia would ship defence supplies to India by sea off course. Doesn't matter how long it takes, just that it arrives in India.
Obviously China could not stop these shipments by force.

Trustworthy or not, Russia is China's most important geostrategic partner now, and in the near future. If this India-China complicates China-Russian ties. This is just what Uncle Sam needs.

Click to expand...

siegecrossbow said:

If there is an open conflict between two countries, supplying to one will be seen as an act of war by the other. This is why France stopped supplying Exocets during Falkland and why India is boosting weapons imports now.

Click to expand...

Sardaukar20 said:

I guess this settles the debate of Russia choosing China or India. Russia is not belligerent to China, unlike the US & Soviet Union during cold war. So Russia cannot, under these circumstances, ship arms to India during an India-China War.

Click to expand...

siegecrossbow said:

Historically the Sino-Indian War of 1962 started in the same timeframe.

Click to expand...