J-20 5th Gen Fighter Thread VIII

by78

General
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Deino

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Wow ... I totally missed, that after the three confirmed J-20S (J-20AS/J-20B ??) twin-seater - known are the numbers 2031, 2032 & 2033 - Huitong has updated his site with a fourth one numbered 2036!

And usually, there should be a no. 2035 too.

(Image via Huitong's CMA-Blog)

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tphuang

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It's a shame that the J-20 production rate may be close to full capacity. Chengfei's turnover growth rate in 2023 has dropped from more than 20% per year for many years to 10%. This may be the reason why the Air Force received the J-35A. Chengfei can no longer meet the Air Force's production capacity requirements for the 4th generation aircraft.

Chengfei turnover statistics over the years
2017
20 billion yuan
2018
No official data source
2019
30 billion yuan
2020
41.1 billion yuan
2021
55 billion yuan
2022
67.2 billion yuan
2023
74.9 billion yuan


Chengfei turnover sources in the past two years
Keep in mind that CAC itself is undergoing large scale factory expansion that has only completed recently. The new facilities are likely to be more automated than ever before so it would need to hire more skilled labors needed to operate them.
The supply chain expansion also takes several years to complete. As I previously stated, the meta material capacity expansion with expand 10 fold over next 4 to 6 years. The main suppliers of carbon fiber to PLA also just got its latest T700/T800 into production and is rapidly adding capacity. I would assume similar expansion are in place for the engine producers, the radar producers, the power semiconductor producers. You can go check their expansion plan and revenue growth projections to see this.
 
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