My concern would not be crashes
Rather no aircraft
2nd carrier is done and 3rd is coming on fast
They need at least 4-5 air wings for them
Yet no sign of any new planes
The imported Su-27's and Su-30's, almost all of them, are reaching their life-limits. They bought Su-35's, but they can't beat J-10C's and J-16's. Now the Air Force wants J-16's; the Navy also wants them, not to mention J-20's. Limin still only, working days and nights, produces around 100 WS-10 engines annually. Where are the engines?
no doubt had not the J-20 dominated the show, the J-10C OVT would have been the star?
You can't develop OVT in one day. They had to be working on it for years.
With regards to the engines they will have to build at least more WS-10 like engine cores when the WS-20 comes out for the Y-20.
Since that plane is quad engine, 100 engines would only be enough for 20 planes.
So I think they will ramp up engine production eventually. They need to.
The Su-35's with OVT likely will give the J-10C without OVT a run for its money, in fact the Su-35 has "changed the culture", prior to those Su-35's the PLAAF were rather ambivalent about OVT. Thanks to the Su-35's we now see a J-10C with OVT performing at Zhuhai, in fact I wouldn't be surprised at some point to see a J-20 with OVT...
and you're exactly right, with only 100 WS-10s annually, working day and night, you have correctly identified a significant bottleneck in aircraft production...
So how many J-10Cs are currently flying with OVT??? no doubt had not the J-20 dominated the show, the J-10C OVT would have been the star?
Just saying the one that featured TVC was a J-10B demonstrator. Also the J-10 series still use AL-31 engines, as are the J-15s, leaving all newly produced WS-10s for the J-11/16s (without considering possible application on J-20s, of course).