J-10 Thread III (Closed to posting)

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nugroho

Junior Member
BEIJING, Jan. 16 (Xinhuanet) -- Dozens of J-10 fighter jets have joined a live ammunition drill conducted by the Chinese Navy’s East China Sea Fleet.

The fighters were organized into ten formations and used several tactics to approach the target more than a 1000 kilometers away. The drill also included strong electromagnetic interference to simulate a real combat scenario. The fighters covered for each other in a concealed raid and the targets were hit.

The drill was launched after the General Staff of the People’s Liberation Army issued the Military Training Instructions for 2013. It said all army forces and armed police should strengthen combat and information warfare training and step up the modernization of the military, so it can engage in and win wars.

are j 10 Bs participating? or it's just an ordinary j 10 A drill?
 

Deino

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
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...

are j 10 Bs participating? or it's just an ordinary j 10 A drill?

Since so far no J-10B is operational and the PLANAF only operates J-10AHs these were regular fighters for sure.
 

plawolf

Lieutenant General
The text is quite clear on the first issue: the 40 J-10 in Lot 07 will go to K12S36T (24) and H9S25T (16). 7-01 – 7-08 were produced in 2012, the remaining 32 accordingly in 2013. So the last two J-10A regiments will be formed this year.

K12S36T Jinan had J-7B. It is K12S34T Wendeng that has J-7G.

H9S25T Lingshui has J-8BH/DH (as I wrote). It is H8S24T Jialai that has J-7EH.

I do not understand the question about H4S12T – trp = transport regiment? If so, no. H4S12T Feidong has J-10AH. Are you mixing it up with K4S12T, which is now a transport regiment at Qionglai?

I am sceptical about number 13 of the FTTC J-10 regiment at Gucheng, I think it was 1 Regt, now renumbered with 78x1x which ought to indicate 170 Brigade. I think it has 21 aircraft, corresponding to nos. 78011 – 78211.

I presume you are basing this off of the August issue of AFM with the detailed PLAAF and PLANAF orbat? Because Wendeng was one of the mistakes made in it, since Wendeng most assuredly does not have J7Gs based there.

Last time I was there (just under a year ago), there were only J7Bs based there. Most of the birds were either under covers or had the new blurry orange font and gull grey camo style that makes trying to identify the serials all but impossible at any range, but some still had the old font and white camo, and I managed to get the following serials: 21239, 21238, 21135, 21136 and 21038. All J7Bs and not a single G, and I was pretty sure I saw all, or at least the vast majority of the full complement.
 

franco-russe

Senior Member
I would not dream of basing anything on the article in Air Force Monthly which I do not read (though I looked at the article when it was posted on this forum). I base it on my own order of battle.

J-7G's are happily easy to identify when the canopy is clearly visible, and the aircraft of 34 Regt can positively be identified as J-7G's.

You are surely aware that the 21x3x numbers you quote are those of 36 Regt, which is now converting to J-10A at the new Qihe airfield.

But I appreciate your observations because they solve the problem of where the J-7B's of 36 were relocated when Jinan was evacuated in 2010.
 

plawolf

Lieutenant General
I would not dream of basing anything on the article in Air Force Monthly which I do not read (though I looked at the article when it was posted on this forum). I base it on my own order of battle.

J-7G's are happily easy to identify when the canopy is clearly visible, and the aircraft of 34 Regt can positively be identified as J-7G's.

You are surely aware that the 21x3x numbers you quote are those of 36 Regt, which is now converting to J-10A at the new Qihe airfield.

But I appreciate your observations because they solve the problem of where the J-7B's of 36 were relocated when Jinan was evacuated in 2010.

When did the 34th convert to J7Gs?
 

SteelBird

Colonel
When did the 34th convert to J7Gs?

Wolf, I heard on the last few days PLAAF sent their J-7 and J-10 to the disputed Diaoyu Islands and were intercepted by Japanese F-15J. This is interesting, leave alone all political issues, while J-7s are of course no match to the F-15s, I'd like to hear your idea about J-10 vs F15J.
 

lcloo

Captain
Wolf, I heard on the last few days PLAAF sent their J-7 and J-10 to the disputed Diaoyu Islands and were intercepted by Japanese F-15J. This is interesting, leave alone all political issues, while J-7s are of course no match to the F-15s, I'd like to hear your idea about J-10 vs F15J.

Ifeng.com reported it was JH-7, J-7 is a bit short leg for that distance.

The report stated the incidents that day involved Y-8, J-10, JH-7, F-15J, PC-3 (Japan), C-130 (US), EP3-C(US). Check the link below(eliminate the gap between h and ttp://)

h ttp://v.ifeng.com/v/drlj/index.shtml#3ebb934a-c0c5-4ea5-a061-4b07719720ef
 
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plawolf

Lieutenant General
Wolf, I heard on the last few days PLAAF sent their J-7 and J-10 to the disputed Diaoyu Islands and were intercepted by Japanese F-15J. This is interesting, leave alone all political issues, while J-7s are of course no match to the F-15s, I'd like to hear your idea about J-10 vs F15J.

I think this is both a response to the previous incident where the Japanese scrambled 8 F15s and support aircraft to intercept a single unarmed Chinese Y7 transport over the islands, and also the PLAAF calling Japan's bluff when Japanese officials suggested Japanese fighters might try firing warning shots at Chinese planes.

I think the previous incident with the Japanese scrambling 8 F15s was very interesting in a number of ways.

Firstly, I don't think anyone would dispute that 8 F15s against a single unarmed transport is overkill of ludicrous proportions, and that overreaction is telling and indicative of the deep insecurity the Japanese are feeling, and for good reason.

The bulk of the Japanese F15J fleet are over 30 years old now, and only 30 have been upgraded with a modern radar and have ARHAAM capability in the form of AAM4s.

This is what the original F15Js' cockpits look like.

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And the upgraded F15Js are not that much better off tbh.

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I would rate the un-upgraded F15Js as equivalent to the Su27SKs the PLAAF got in the early 90s, with the upgraded F15Js equivalent to later block J11As but short of J11B standard. We all know how the Su27SKs and J11As faired against J10As in exercises, and I would not expect the Japanese F15Js to do much better.

On a one-on-one basis, even the upgraded F15Js would be hard pressed to hold their own against J10As, and the Japanese only have 30 of those. The rest of the F15J fleet will have little chance if faced off against a J10 in BVR or WVR.

It is also interesting that the PLAAF sent in J10s rather than J11s. The Japanese sent in F15Js rather than F2s because the Diaoyu Islands are actually quite some way from the nearest Japanese air base, and they prefer the extra legs of the F15J even though the F2s have more modern radars and avionics (but then, the F2 was designed as a striker, so it may not be as good as the F15Js in air combat even with it's nearer electronics).

The PLAAF's choice to send in J10s might mean one of two things, or both. Firstly, by using the shorter legged J10As, the PLAAF is subtly reminding the Japanese that it's entire modern fighter fleet is in play over the Diaoyu Islands, whereas the Japanese F2s might struggle to reach the islands without extensive tanker support.

The J10As are still the PLAAF's best air combat fighters, and I think the PLAAF wanted to be safe rather than sorry in case the Japanese really were stupid enough to follow through with their silly threats of firing warning shots at PLAAF fighters. If the Japanese were moronic enough to do that, push could very quickly and easily turn into shove, in which case the PLAAF wanted the best chance of winning the ensuring scrap.

Viewed in this context, and when you consider how many modern J10As and J11A/Bs the PLAAF and PLANAF have, one can see why the Japanese were so skittish over the Y7 and over-reacted so spectacularly. The 8 F15Js were not meant for the Y7, but rather Japan sent so many up because they knew the Y7 was sent in to gauge their response and they wanted to send as strong a message as they can to try and scare the Chinese off from doing exactly what they have done recently.

But it did not work. The PLAAF deployed and they deployed in force, with as many as 10 or more aircraft involved. Funnily enough, the Japanese did not send up as many F15Js this time as they did against the lone Y7, nor, thankfully, were they stupid enough to think about firing warning shots, so it all came down to very little in the end. But no worry, no risk of their cheerleaders in the western press contrasting their bullish swagger when faced against a helpless Y7 compared to when they were confronted by PLAAF fighters, so it's all good.
 

latenlazy

Brigadier
I think this is both a response to the previous incident where the Japanese scrambled 8 F15s and support aircraft to intercept a single unarmed Chinese Y7 transport over the islands, and also the PLAAF calling Japan's bluff when Japanese officials suggested Japanese fighters might try firing warning shots at Chinese planes.

I think the previous incident with the Japanese scrambling 8 F15s was very interesting in a number of ways.

Firstly, I don't think anyone would dispute that 8 F15s against a single unarmed transport is overkill of ludicrous proportions, and that overreaction is telling and indicative of the deep insecurity the Japanese are feeling, and for good reason.

The bulk of the Japanese F15J fleet are over 30 years old now, and only 30 have been upgraded with a modern radar and have ARHAAM capability in the form of AAM4s.

This is what the original F15Js' cockpits look like.

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!


And the upgraded F15Js are not that much better off tbh.

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!


I would rate the un-upgraded F15Js as equivalent to the Su27SKs the PLAAF got in the early 90s, with the upgraded F15Js equivalent to later block J11As but short of J11B standard. We all know how the Su27SKs and J11As faired against J10As in exercises, and I would not expect the Japanese F15Js to do much better.

On a one-on-one basis, even the upgraded F15Js would be hard pressed to hold their own against J10As, and the Japanese only have 30 of those. The rest of the F15J fleet will have little chance if faced off against a J10 in BVR or WVR.

It is also interesting that the PLAAF sent in J10s rather than J11s. The Japanese sent in F15Js rather than F2s because the Diaoyu Islands are actually quite some way from the nearest Japanese air base, and they prefer the extra legs of the F15J even though the F2s have more modern radars and avionics (but then, the F2 was designed as a striker, so it may not be as good as the F15Js in air combat even with it's nearer electronics).

The PLAAF's choice to send in J10s might mean one of two things, or both. Firstly, by using the shorter legged J10As, the PLAAF is subtly reminding the Japanese that it's entire modern fighter fleet is in play over the Diaoyu Islands, whereas the Japanese F2s might struggle to reach the islands without extensive tanker support.

The J10As are still the PLAAF's best air combat fighters, and I think the PLAAF wanted to be safe rather than sorry in case the Japanese really were stupid enough to follow through with their silly threats of firing warning shots at PLAAF fighters. If the Japanese were moronic enough to do that, push could very quickly and easily turn into shove, in which case the PLAAF wanted the best chance of winning the ensuring scrap.

Viewed in this context, and when you consider how many modern J10As and J11A/Bs the PLAAF and PLANAF have, one can see why the Japanese were so skittish over the Y7 and over-reacted so spectacularly. The 8 F15Js were not meant for the Y7, but rather Japan sent so many up because they knew the Y7 was sent in to gauge their response and they wanted to send as strong a message as they can to try and scare the Chinese off from doing exactly what they have done recently.

But it did not work. The PLAAF deployed and they deployed in force, with as many as 10 or more aircraft involved. Funnily enough, the Japanese did not send up as many F15Js this time as they did against the lone Y7, nor, thankfully, were they stupid enough to think about firing warning shots, so it all came down to very little in the end. But no worry, no risk of their cheerleaders in the western press contrasting their bullish swagger when faced against a helpless Y7 compared to when they were confronted by PLAAF fighters, so it's all good.

I think I agree with the hard substance of your analysis, but I disagree with the characterization of Japan's behavior. I don't think either side was sincere about using force, and both sides knew this. Both sides have incentive to posture and bluff over the islands, but neither have a real incentive for this to escalate into a firefight. Abe is following through with some campaign promises, and his movements are largely symbolic to consolidate his base of support on the nationalist flank (and also, I suspect, to consolidate support for increasing military spending for various reasons that deal with Japan's long term security). Meanwhile, I probably don't have to explain that China has incentive to follow through with its own posturing, given the number of parties it must deal with on territorial disputes. I do think that both sides recognize that this as a cat and mouse game necessary to sustain their credibility on different political fronts. So far nothing about this set of incidents deviate from other similar incidents that have occurred in the last decade or so.
 
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