Well well well, the day has finally arrived! It is a very important milestone for the WS10A and China's aviation industry that we have finally seen it on a J10, and this may explain why we haven't seen or heard much about the J10B for a while - they were waiting for the engine and doing integration work on her.
However, it is still important that we keep things in prospective as the WS10A only offers a small thrust increase compared to the AL31, and we do not know what the weight change between J10A and B is, so chances are there may not be much of a performance boost at all from switching engines.
However, in terms of maintenance costs and aircraft availability, switching to the WS10A should make a
huge improvement.
I think that the main reason a lot of people are saying the 1st batch of J10Bs will not use WS10A is because of the recent 123 AL31 engines China just bought from Russia.
Obviously this could mean that CAC planned to continue pumping out J10A/Bs using the AL31 while they test fly with the WS10A and build up engine production capacity.
However, given that CAC's J10 production capacity is around a regiment a year, that 123 engines would be able to cover around 4 years of production. That seems like an unusually long time for integration tests considering that both the airframe and engine are pretty much mature at this point.
Since the PLA has obviously been willing to wait this long for the J10B to be finalised and continued with J10A production, it would appear that they prefer to have the J10B as the finished article instead of just ordering J10Bs with AL31s to change the engine to WS10A later.
This makes me think that the 1st batch of J10Bs will use WS10A, as that would appear to be the definitive J10 version with 100% Chinese content and all the bells and whistles like IRST, ESA radar and integrated EW suit etc.
However, it could easily be that the next batch of J10s to come out of CAC could still be J10As, as CAC finish testing with the WS10A. Having waited this long, I do not think the PLAAF will not wait till the end.
Personally, I think that the 123 AL31s are intended for maybe another regiment or two of new built J10As, and the rest as replacement engines for older J10As.
China already has a massive maintenance and repairs infrastructure built up for AL31s to support their Flankers, so I don't think they will need that many replacement engines. With the AL31 being an imported engine, I think they would spend more effort repairing them than air forces that have their engines made domestically, and this might be how they managed to extend the life of the engine.
The J10B is worth watching even more closely now since it is almost like a trial run for the J20, with the majority of test flight done using an interim engine while the final article is intended to fly with a different engine.
Would be interesting to see how long it will be before the first regiment of J10Bs are ready.
I think the export J10s for Pakistan might be worth watching as well because the PAF would want Chinese engines for no risk of disruption on spares and replacements. That means that the export J10s will either be J10Bs (the F7PG and J7E case has set the precedent where the PAF got a new version before the PLAAF) or it could be J10As re-engined with WS10As.