"Finally, I think the top brass in China realise this already and they are going towards building a similiar military might of comparable to USA. It need not be the same number but enough to project a military might. I give example, USA has 10 CVN, maybe China just need to have 4-5 will be enough to project its might in a decent scale."
@Lion: IMHO China doesn't need that much carriers. A maximum of 3 should be enough. I CVBG for overseas deployment to help with humanitarian missions, peacekeeping, international exercises and diversion group(to attract USN attention away from Taiwan Strait area) and 2 more CVBGs to stay in waters close to China's coast. Plus, i think future naval power would rely more on stealth destroyers and cruisers(like DDX) armed with SAMs and LACMs. For example, a heavy cruiser armed with SAMs, ASCMs and up to 60 stealth LACMs would be probably 2-3 times cheaper than the cost of operating and maintaning a medium-sized carrier that can hold 50 combat aircraft.
If PLAN has 1 CVBG for overseas deployment, i guess it will be based in Pakistan.
And this come from the same guy who propose China to built 1000 plus J-10. Without CVBG, how the hell do you sent your fighters out? And don't tell me that US's F16 are also not able to be carried by carrier.
I mean, come on, do China has as much foreign bases as US? And how do the US come up with so much foreign bases? Because they can project their power out easily... and that is because they have so many CVBG.
Plus, many people have been telling you... stop plucking figures from thin air... without any substantial backings!
Plus in previous thread, you say about providing job opportunity to people in China... that is the most hilarious and (pardon me saying) illogical thinking... you think pilots and maintanence crew can just be picked out and train that easily? How many pilots trainees actually make it to fly a fighter after tedious training do you reckon.
1000+ J-10? That is stupid. Plain stupid.
Although you have valid point part of the solution is to tie chinese interest with major world power interest. If material/resources is blocked first thing china will do is to divert resources used for export for domestic use.
Parry a thousand pound with one ounce, by securing chinese-other party co-interest less effort is required on the chinese part.
I see lot's of fengqin (not you, of course) try to say china will do this or that, or china will drop US bonds. That's is the stupidst thing that could happen. Why would US hold back when it has nothing left to lose?
China wants a clipped or gradually dimishing US influence, and they are feeding them toward this direction. A sudden implosion is actually not what they wanted to see. What will happen to the thousands of nukes if US government lost control? Same thing can be said about those wishing collapse of china - that is the most stupid thing you can wish for.
Part of the reason why nuclear proliferation is an issue is because a regime change is much harder when a country has nuclear weapon. Not because the current leader might use it but because it might fall into the wrong hand in ensuing chaos. Actually, once a country has nuclear weapons, other countries worse nightmare is the instability and collapse of said country.
Regarding J-10 I don't think it is a good idea to produce 1000 J-10s. It would be too late when F-35 is already close to deployment. It also eats resources away from other more important projects. I think J-10 will remain more or less the current amount while J-8 will be upgraded and J-7 phased away as newer aircraft (and maybe newer and modified version of J-11 and J-10) came into surface. There is too much baggage in the PLA to go for a complete makeover.
Producing thousands of J-10s will just ensure you have thousands of J-7 equivalent in the future.
I support this analogy. China do not need 1000+ J-10 now. How many J-10 are being produced each year, to maintain the quality of this aircraft and not just quantity without quality.
I have been stressing in many posts that China's economy is not as strong and robust as many had think or dream to be. She has the world largest population, and many are still quite poor. SHe need to divert her budgets to different areas and not just to build a massive airforce.
Plus have you seen US building 1000 F-22 or F-35 nowaday? The reason for that huge number of F-16 and F-15 was a remnant of the time of cold war when it was needed.
But I do support the idea of CHina having more carriers and destroyers to ensure her supply of raw material was stable and safe. But since China do not have that much foreign bases, so she would have to rely on her carriers.
