Israeli-Palestinian Conflict and other Related Conflicts in the Middle East (read the rules in the first post)

jiajia99

Junior Member
Registered Member
My comment: you're wrong because of reasons 1, 2, 3, 4..

Your comment: you're wrong, just trust me


Have you seen Israeli media these days? All the talk is about Lebanon being part of the Promised Land.

Given their history, it's more likely they'll go away than stay put anywhere. Europeans kicked them around like a football for millenia until a German midfielder's free kick landed them out of the continent via the Haavara Agreement between the Nazis and the Zionist Federation of Germany.

They don't have history of permanently settling anywhere. They are like the foam of the sea - tossed around by the current but have no control of the current itself.
Given there extreme entitlement and lack of empathy, it’s quite easy to see why nobody wants these people around
 

FairAndUnbiased

Brigadier
Registered Member
My comment: you're wrong because of reasons 1, 2, 3, 4..

Your comment: you're wrong, just trust me


Have you seen Israeli media these days? All the talk is about Lebanon being part of the Promised Land.

Given their history, it's more likely they'll go away than stay put anywhere. Europeans kicked them around like a football for millenia until a German midfielder's free kick landed them out of the continent via the Haavara Agreement between the Nazis and the Zionist Federation of Germany.

They don't have history of permanently settling anywhere. They are like the foam of the sea - tossed around by the current but have no control of the current itself.

Maybe their next "historical homeland" can be in India. Maybe they will find evidence of 3000 year old claims in Delhi.
 

AndrewS

Brigadier
Registered Member
Lool If you really believe that this is the most brutal/gross war in our modern history then I can only say you are wrong on this. Just because you feel more passionate and emotional about the Israel/Palestine issue doesn't means its a universal things. You need to broaden more your views and also focus/learn more about other conflicts that have taken place recently and those still ongoing around the world.
It's silly to think this is the worse war mankind has seen in recent memory. Lol Far from it dude.

You have votes in the UN votes where it is literally the US+Israel versus the rest of the world.

Now, the UN is toothless because of the US veto, but you can see what everyone thinks, which includes NATO allies.

I think Palestine is the one issue in the world which is near-universal.
 

iewgnem

Junior Member
Registered Member
Yeah. It's depends on what you mean by loss. I don't think Israels objective is to occupy Lebanon. Their objective is to degrade Hezbollahs capabilities to the point it doesn't represent a threat to them and their cities anymore. I'm.sorry but Israel isn't going anywhere. The others will have to get used to living with them in the neighbourhood. At the end of the day, all parties will need to seat down at the table and negotiate so they can come to some sort of agreement and yes some concessions will have to be made by both sides.

I actually think Lebanon has lost far more than anyone I'm this Israel/Gaza conflict. Afterall the country was already bankrupt and relying on western international financial agencies(IMF/World bank) and Gulf Arab states goodwill/aid to survive their financial and economic crisis. This conflict and the destruction Israel is inflicting Lebanon will take decades to recover from, especially after the country was finally recovering from the destruction caused by the 2006 war with Israel. At this rate I'm not sure how many more such wars can the country sustain before total economic collapse.
Plus we have to also keep in mind that there is also a significant percent of Lebanese population who doesnt support Hezbollah and their policies in the region. This can also lead to instability and crisis if Israel weakens Hezbollah to a significant extent. Their adversaries might make use of this. So I hope the war ends soon and all sides can come to negotiating table.
You're looking at this as an enclosed system with only Israel and Lebanon, but reality is Israel is entirely reliant on US weapons and financial aid, while Hezbollah is supported by Iran, who in turn is supported by Russia and China. The question you need to ask isn't if Israel can degrade Hezbollah or Lebanon, it's if Israel can degrade Iran more than its degrading itself, and at a larger scale can it degrade China and Russia more than its actions are degrading the United States.

This is why the war can become existential for Israel this time, in all previous conflicts United States was in a globally dominant economic, industrial and military position, and there was no Russia-China alliance on the side of their enemy with global dominance in both industry and resources. Hezbollah is an externally supplied grass root guerrilla force that can and has survived degradation, but to do so Israel is irreversibly degrading both itself and United States diplomatically, economically and militarily, all while the cost to Iran is minimal, and cost to China and Russia even less.

A United States that loses USD reserve currency, or worse gets into a war with China, is a US that will no longer be able to supply Israel with weapons, missiles, or even ammunition, and in such a situation Israel, having just burnt all their bridges for diplomacy, and having no experience surviving like Palestinians, would be destroyed

A smarter Israel would understand the global situation US is in, realize their reliance on it, and try to minimize the damage they're doing to the US for their own sake, but then they wouldn't be Israel.
 

AndrewS

Brigadier
Registered Member
You're looking at this as an enclosed system with only Israel and Lebanon, but reality is Israel is entirely reliant on US weapons and financial aid, while Hezbollah is supported by Iran, who in turn is supported by Russia and China. The question you need to ask isn't if Israel can degrade Hezbollah or Lebanon, it's if Israel can degrade Iran more than its degrading itself, and at a larger scale can it degrade China and Russia more than its actions are degrading the United States.

This is why the war can become existential for Israel this time, in all previous conflicts United States was in a globally dominant economic, industrial and military position, and there was no Russia-China alliance on the side of their enemy with global dominance in both industry and resources. Hezbollah is an externally supplied grass root guerrilla force that can and has survived degradation, but to do so Israel is irreversibly degrading both itself and United States diplomatically, economically and militarily, all while the cost to Iran is minimal, and cost to China and Russia even less.

A United States that loses USD reserve currency, or worse gets into a war with China, is a US that will no longer be able to supply Israel with weapons, missiles, or even ammunition, and in such a situation Israel, having just burnt all their bridges for diplomacy, and having no experience surviving like Palestinians, would be destroyed

A smarter Israel would understand the global situation US is in, realize their reliance on it, and try to minimize the damage they're doing to the US for their own sake, but then they wouldn't be Israel.

Also remember that Russia has nothing left to lose, as relations have completely broken down with the West.

It does look like the war in Ukraine may end in the coming year.

At which point, the Russians will seek to cause the US pain with regards to Israel.
 

_killuminati_

Senior Member
Registered Member
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The Torah provides clear guidelines regarding the areas we were commanded to conquer when taking possession of the land,” he wrote. He elaborated further on the concept of “Greater Israel”, suggesting that the Biblical boundaries stretch “from the ‘River of Egypt’ [interpreted by some as the Nile or a smaller river in Sinai] to the Perat River [Euphrates].”
Hashem [God] tells us that we are granted every land we will conquer within the borders mentioned,”

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Balloons supposedly sent from Israel to
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on Wednesday warned Lebanese to leave their homes, saying their land "belongs to Jews".
Israeli extremists have already called for an invasion of southern Lebanon and the establishment of
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on the territory.

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An
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settler group is promoting
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in southern
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, as the Israeli army wages a bombing campaign in the country that has killed over 1000 people since mid-September.
The movement's site recently published a
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of southern Lebanon detailing at least 300 new settlements,
with Lebanese villages and towns south of the Litani River rebranded with Hebrew names.
photo_2024-09-23_22-41-33.jpg


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Uri Tzafon, named for a
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literally meaning “awaken, O North,” was founded in late March with the goal of demanding not only war and reoccupation but also Israeli civilian settlements in southern Lebanon.
a 24 year-old Israeli soldier who was killed fighting in Gaza this January, and who, according to his family, dreamed not only of Israeli settlements in Gaza but also of settling in Lebanon himself.

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Rabbi
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called for the conquest of Lebanon and the settlement of Southern Lebanon
in a letter published on Wednesday.
This Rabbi is part of the same Chabad Lubavitch movement whose founder mentored Netanyahu.
 

AndrewS

Brigadier
Registered Member
Yeah. It's depends on what you mean by loss. I don't think Israels objective is to occupy Lebanon. Their objective is to degrade Hezbollahs capabilities to the point it doesn't represent a threat to them and their cities anymore. I'm.sorry but Israel isn't going anywhere. The others will have to get used to living with them in the neighbourhood. At the end of the day, all parties will need to seat down at the table and negotiate so they can come to some sort of agreement and yes some concessions will have to be made by both sides.

I actually think Lebanon has lost far more than anyone I'm this Israel/Gaza conflict. Afterall the country was already bankrupt and relying on western international financial agencies(IMF/World bank) and Gulf Arab states goodwill/aid to survive their financial and economic crisis. This conflict and the destruction Israel is inflicting Lebanon will take decades to recover from, especially after the country was finally recovering from the destruction caused by the 2006 war with Israel. At this rate I'm not sure how many more such wars can the country sustain before total economic collapse.
Plus we have to also keep in mind that there is also a significant percent of Lebanese population who doesnt support Hezbollah and their policies in the region. This can also lead to instability and crisis if Israel weakens Hezbollah to a significant extent. Their adversaries might make use of this. So I hope the war ends soon and all sides can come to negotiating table.

Hezbollah comes from the Shiite population in Lebanon.
So if there is no occupation, Hezbollah will rebuild with time, given that they have a land-based supply route to Iran.

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And looking to future decades, the US is going to have to divert everything it has to the Western Pacific to counter China, so where does that leave Israel?

Remember that Israel is surrounded with hostile or unfriendly lands, populated by refugees whose homes were were taken to create the Israeli state.

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As a recent Manifold podcast points out, Israel has 5 major electricity power stations. I see 2 major oil refineries in Israel as well.

And Iran has demonstrated that it can get through Israeli missile defences.

If Israel keeps escalating with Iran, then we can expect to see long-term petrol and electricity shortages in Israel.
 

Luke Warmwar

New Member
Registered Member
Can anyone answer why Israel’s rivals tend to prefer low-to-medium intensity longer-range conflict?

Israel seems to excel at that. Its assassinations, bombings, and missile defence are top notch.

On the other hand, in higher intensity Ukraine-style war, numbers matter far more, and in that respect Israel is outmatched more than ten to one.

From Ukraine, we’ve seen that airforces can be fairly effectively suppressed with air defence.

Wouldn’t it be better for Israel’s rivals to escalate to a full land war?
 

Rank Amateur

Junior Member
Registered Member
Hezbollah should appoint an AI generated leader to confuse Israel, wait for Israel to announce the death of said leader, then blow the whistle on the AI part in order to embarrass them.

News channels tour Al-Sahel hospital in Beirut. They are all have access to the entire hospital unsupervised.

RT says they didn't find anything belonging to Hezbollah in the basements.
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Sky News claims they aren't allowed unrestricted access and that the gold may be somewhere in the hospital behind a door they didn't open.

Lloyd Austin says there is no evidence of Hezbollah owned assets in the hospital.

I don't understand why Lebanon doesn't invite UN inspectors and stand their ground instead of evacuating.


This is because your timeline starts at Oct 7 and you are just here to facetiously provoke and insult people that have an all encompassing view that starts at 1948.

"people that have an all encompassing view that starts at 1948"

Even 1948 is too late a starting point for "an all encompassing view." Zionist efforts to take over Palestine began well before then.
 
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