Israeli-Palestinian Conflict and other Related Conflicts in the Middle East (read the rules in the first post)

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Zichan

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E100 said:
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TLDR: According to this post israeli media has stated that 1 f35 was taken out of service and that another was slightly damaged.
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This matches up with the identified impact sites shared by @Hvang, lending further credence to the assessment. 32 impact sites and 2 hits on hangars.


Post in thread 'Israeli-Palestinian Conflict and other Related Conflicts in the Middle East (read the rules in the first post)'
Israeli-Palestinian Conflict and other Related Conflicts in the Middle East (read the rules in the first post)
 
Z

Zichan

Junior Member
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iewgnem said:
Do you know the probability of impacting down the centre of taxi-ways with CEP any larger than 5m?
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And what was the probability of the missile stage falling on a Palestinian pedestrian?
iewgnem said:
There are actually more photos out including another destroyed building, a hole in one of the F-35 shelter roof and two craters right outside F-35 shelters at distance of around 5m.
Accuracy is clearly not an issue, if there are issues it's small warhead size, which would be a tactical / cost decision where larger numbers of smaller warheads make it harder to intercept for the same cost.
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According to Arms Control Wonk, the first attack at Nevatim airbase had an estimated CEP of 1.2km. This one was clearly more successful.

@tokenanalyst Same airbase
 
CaribouTruth

CaribouTruth

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I was thinking what's the holdup on bombing Lebanon's only airport. Then it struck me there must be a deal with Israel's allies to let them evacuate a certain number of their citizens, only then the Israelis will bomb the airport. Good on Russians and Iranians to get in and out while they can.
 
FairAndUnbiased

FairAndUnbiased

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iBBz said:
Max Blumenthal's stream with tons of new information about Israeli operations in Lebanon and elsewhere. Max says "no one gets out alive" orders have been issued. The IDF are targeting everyone, including healthcare workers and not allowing them to go to bombed buildings. 35 first responders were killed yesterday.

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FriedButter

FriedButter

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CaribouTruth said:
I was thinking what's the holdup on bombing Lebanon's only airport. Then it struck me there must be a deal with Israel's allies to let them evacuate a certain number of their citizens, only then the Israelis will bomb the airport. Good on Russians and Iranians to get in and out while they can.
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They don’t care about civilians. Even their own. The only thing delaying further moves is because the Americans want the Israelis to help “influence” the Lebanon election. US top priority is to ensure the right puppet is elected and they will green light it regardless of who wins.

The Biden admin has been lying tooth and nail by publicly promoting peace while privately pushing for more war. Just like they did with Russia, China, Iran etc. There is now reports that the Biden Admin had supported their moves on Lebanon. It is entirely possible that they were involved in the assassinations in Lebanon and Iran.

U.S. wants to use Hezbollah's weakness to elect new Lebanese president​

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Two U.S. officials said the White House sees the current situation in Lebanon as an opportunity to break the deadlock over the election of a Lebanese president and thinks this should be the top priority, even before a push for a ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah.
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Nasrallah blocked any effort to elect a person who was not its ally Suleiman Frangieh.
  • With Nasrallah dead and Hezbollah at its weakest in years, the Biden administration thinks there is now an opportunity to dramatically reduce its influence on the Lebanese political system and elect a new president who is not an ally of the Shia militia, two U.S. officials said.
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_killuminati_

_killuminati_

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Zichan said:
I’m just working with what is available and will adjust my conclusions as additional data comes in. 1 or 2 hits out of 32 for $3 million per missile is not particularly effective against that military target.
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What's available apart from random pins drawn across a map 3 days after the strike by a former State Departmen official? You taking him seriously without any verification of the data makes all of your work useless.
 
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