Holding around a quarter of Gaza, and even that territory isn't under stable control right now. And money and equipment for that occupation come from the outside (US).
Snipers popping are all around the rubble they created killing a bunch of officers left and right.
Now Israel killed the Iranian top general in Syria, giving Iran an excuse to move against them harder.
So far Shia militias in Iraq and Syria only tried to blow up some oil fields in Israel with no further involvement,
But now they will be more heavily involved. Israel made a mistake to provoke Iran which acted relatively mild so far.
Iran can just send its own soldiers and equipment masked as Iraq Shia militias to Syria and attack from the ground easily.
Israel having this much trouble, without even Hezbollah, and other actors going all out yet. Nobody would've thought this.
And even if they could hypothetically be about to clear all the tunnels in Gaza and kill Hamas leaders in Qatar,
Iran, Hezbollah, Houthis, and Shia paramilitaries in Iraq and Syria wouldn't allow that to happen and open up their fronts more.
Israel has a very low chance of winning this war without the US getting actively involved, and even then chances are also low.
Iran and other actors see that so they see no point in attacking Israel any harder when it's shooting their side in the foot.
It seems to me that Iran and the US are doing escalation management here and have a silent agreement to not help either side all out.
All this civilian massacring is just creating more Hamas soldiers and turning the world's attention against them.
Israel managed to get the entire Muslim World, post-colonial Global South, to a degree, against them and the US, at the same time.
Israel should be rewarded later in the new world architecture by China and Russia as dealing more damage to the US than them both tbh.
But, Israel doesn't give a damn. They know that after the US collapses they would lose Palestine certainly, so why not try to win something while the US is still there or existing?
