Chinese culture will be more and more influential abroad... but probably not the kind of culture that you guys are thinking of.
Confucianism? Traditional arts? Too boring for young people. Remember, if you want to spread your culture, start with the young, they're more likely to embrace new stuff.
The Chinese movie industry has tried making in roads with Jackie Chan, Jet Li, and Zhang Yimou. While they weren't failures, they were not spectacularly successful either. The progress is definitely there (ex: the Kung Fu Kid movie with Jackie Chan and Jaden Smith), but it's definitely slow going.
What I see as a faster vector is through the millions of overseas students. A significant portion of those students will be staying overseas after their studies, and they will be bringing their cultural preferences to their friends, which could include ethnic Chinese who grew up overseas, their SO, and their eventual children. Already, we have huge Chinese communities that are inviting famous artists from Mainland to perform here. So I think the expansion of Chinese culture will be done through the overseas Chinese community.
Here's a question, if you are not ethnic Chinese, what has made you interested enough to join a forum about Chinese military? After all, this forum itself is an example of cultural expansion.
Sorry, took me so long to respond, I had a lot to think over the past week, and didn't want to post before I gather my thoughts together.
Reason I am curious is because I see China's economy has developed in 30 years of time, which it took the western world 100 years to reach the similar level. That means the economic influenced has far suppress their cultural and military influence. So the problem is that we now have a vacuum the perception of Chinese culture world wide, I think most of the Western people have a very distorted view of China, this mostly have to do the the report in the media, the bad news out weights the good ones tenfold, and I don't blame the media to have some kind of conspiracy, because all media is not really so call "free", I think all media's goal is making a profit. In order to get profit, you need audience, and only negative news come out of China will receive coverage, because it gives the people what they want to hear, to reinforce their already existing negative view about China, that view that has been set by the government/lobbyist group in the first place, whom have agenda on their own.
I also don't think this process is unique of Western media, the same thing happens to the coverage of Western nations all over the world as well. However the big difference is, the West can push back on this, because they already have a very well established culture that have positive influence for it is society worldwide, that means the world will not only be interest in negative news about Western world, but often positive news as well, and this can maintain the perception of balance (not always equal balance, but better than pure attraction of negative news), because Western wold have done a very good job on their PR, they have associated themselves as promoter of democracy and freedom, free market, human right etc... but if you look deeper, you can also see the Western world is not that innocent, for example, supporting bad dictatorships, force regime change, invasion and wars base on false evidence etc... but now those things are not dominate perception when one think of the West, but this is very different for China. The differences for China is that, their economy has grow to the point where, culture influenced is lagging far behind, so most of China's reputation is based on the perception of the Western media, basically another culture have a monopoly on your nation's reputation world wide, for example, I know most Americans see China as a nation full of currency manipulator which is one of the major reason for the economic recession, a nation full of slave laborers, computer hackers, cheap crap producers etc... and since the "free media" and the politician do nothing but endless repeat them those claims, the perception has became reality for most people here, but I know this is far from reality, because all of those accusation are one side story, and this view is not only dominate in US, but it has spread to all over the world as well, but China really can do very little to counter this thing. So as long as China let the western nation dictate it is reputation, that means China's own culture influence is very weak. Hope I made the point.
I think when it come to economy and military, yes a nation can indeed work hard and show result in relatively short period of time. But definitely NOT culture, this is not something that can be rushed and engineered overnight. I dare to say, many of the western culture that we associate today was not designed by the government, they came from society interactions.
I think it is true that yes, under a good economic environment it will help with culture development, but it will not rush it. That means China's culture influence will eventually have it is own identity world wide, but it will take a long time for them to form.
So reading about the current Chinese culture, and their past history and culture here is what I think how will Chinese culture might be influencing the future and how it will contribute to the world.
1. I think the traditional culture such as Confucianism, Taoism etc... will be part of it, yes it is very boring for young people. But there is a reason they had been so successful in the ancient times, where it has spread to Vietnam, Korea and Japan (without military conquest). And able to displace the local culture there. That is because I think they offer a world view that helps to maintain order in the society and maintain cohesion, promote hard work, respect for elders etc.. basically a healthy traditional value that foster human development. And yes I am well aware of it's drawback as well, for example, lack of respect for woman, this maybe important in the past, but I don't think it will be a factor anymore. Another drawback is maybe acceptable of corruption, but if you look at all other cultures, corruption is just as bad. And also they are not really a religion, but rather a guideline for society, they will not be directly competing with pure religions.
2. Modified Western cultures to Chinese versions, by this I mean, adopting to the existing western culture such as movie, music etc.. and using the same media and means to produce the Chinese language movie and music, and maybe even traditional folk story etc... I think this is actually what China is trying to do right now, and this is something that might be attracted to young people as you have said. But I don't think this will be long lasting as #1, because I really don't think 1000 years from now on, people will still remember the next summer's Hollywood blockbuster.
3. Science. Ok hear me out.... during about 99% of the time in any given year, when you Google the world "China" into google news, 99% them will be negative. But I find out something odd, during this week of the shenzhou program, most of the news are actually NOT negative, they are more neutral in tone. Of course, you get plenty of "China's Military space program" headline etc... but most of the news and perception from the world are actually positive, they like that China is trying to develop manned space program, because I think everyone in the modern world understand that scientific advancement is the key to future development.
And I do see some evidence that China can possibly heavily invest into science, and produce innovations that advance the world, this is actually not that far fetched when you look at Japan, during the 80s, Made in Japan products are know for it quality and innovation (maybe not recent years). and still event to today, one of the main pillar that define's japan it is their high quality production of whatever cars, electronic etc...
I see there are factors that are both good and bad to china on this. First of all, the bad, China have a decent primary education system, but a very poor higher education institution when compare to the West, because I think it is safe to say that there are probably half dozen better research university in California alone than Tsinghua University. Also there for what its worth, the general political and media control of the Chinese society does foster in innovation. Another factor that harms is that China's higher technological underdevelopment is very much cut off from the western world, for example, the American and the Europeans often shares science results together, that means they can each focus on something and use their resource towards what they are good at. I don't think China is sharing science with any nation on a signific and secreative scale, that means they have no choice, but to invest in all aspect of research on thier own, which often will result in a lot of waste. Also, I don't know what is the technology level of private companies, for example SpaceX a private company is able to launch a capsule to the ISS on their own, I don't know if any private company in China have that kinda of know how, maybe you can say that stated owned company is their counter part, but I don't know just how much innovation can come from them.
Here is what I think it will benefit China: The centralized government intervention that receives no influence from external factors, which means despite outside lobbyist, the government can make independent assessment of what is needed and allocate resource for that project accordingly to the nation’s need. for example, let's talk about renewable energy, China has became the #1 producer of renewable energy in year 2010, and just 10 years before that, China's renewable energy production is not even top 10 in the world, but with government planned investment they are able to competely dominate the market in a very short period of time. I believe out of the top 10 solar panel producers in the world, over half of them are Chinese companies, even the American solar company can't compete with China anymore, which they have to resort to protectionist measures. And since year 2009, China has been consistently making the largest investment in renewable energy year by year, think about it, a nation only have 1/3 of US’s GDP, but they can spending more on dollar terms on renewable energy than US. I think in a democratic nation such as US, such a jump is not possible, because everyone gets a votes, votes come from campaigning, that means some votes are more important than others, for example the vote of corporations is far more important than the people, they can donate un-proportional amount of resource into campaign donation and lobbying power to get the government to do what is most beneficial to them, aka making profit, but what is good for the corporation is NOT often what is good for the people. That is why petro energy company like BP and Exxon still receive billions of subsidies each year, while at the same time they are make record amount of profit year on year, but many renewable energy company can’t receive friction of the benefit. Another thing that benefits China's technological development is their oversee students, there are millions of them studying US and Europe, most of them will want to stay oversees and most do, but there are still that will come back home, and even those that stays will still contributes indirectly. And I think the Chinese society values scientist more than Western societies; this is also correlated with their high value placed on education. Another thing that benefit them is also open source global research papers. And the fact is China has been buying bankrupted western company like crazy does not hurt. Another factor that benefit them is their ethical flexible vs the West, by that I mean there is really nothing that is taboo in science in China, in contrast you can't touch stem cell in the West, you can't do this or that on animals testing etc... I don't see this kind of restriction on China that much.
Basically China is kind like the Soviet Union, except better. Soviet union invest a huge amount of resource on their science, they had produce one of the most literate society and had some very important achievement, but however, they were a closed society, they had almost 0 exchange of knowledge with outside and no students studying elsewhere. Also the fact that they were a pure command economy means less innovation from competition, also I think they might have invested too much in science and military to the point it unbalance their society's very basic consumer need. But in contrast, China enjoyed Soviet Union’s huge relocation of resources into science, while at the same time, they are also a open society with exchange students and ideas, and a open market where competition make it more efficient.
Just from that, I think in the short term, China’s entertainment media is trying produce media productions that try to grab people’s short term attention. But as China’s scientific and economic advancement making progress, people will take interest on what made them successful, especially from those dozens of fail democracies worldwide. And in the end, I think they will be just like ancient Japan, Korea, maybe adopt some of the very traditional culture of China, maybe not to the point where they will became a Confucius society, but they will recognize it and associate it with China.
Yes, long post, so what do you think? Anything else you want to add or disagree with me?