No, that's fact. The conjecture is America becoming, as you put it, a suicide bomber state.
Because I see nuclear weapons for what they are: insurance. I don't want China to fight a nuclear war, but I do want it to absolutely delete the US from every point in the space-time continuum if nuclear war comes. Nuclear parity is the umbrella under which China continues its conventional development and buildup. Without them, if America finally wises up and recognizes that China will achieve qualitative and quantitative superiority, it'll start a war out of an "it's now or never" mentality.
Increased risk aversion in China is actually what I fear, not the US becoming a suicide bomber state. I worry that as China becomes physically stronger, it becomes mentally weaker and softer. This is precisely why I don't want the Taiwan issue resolved - my nightmare is the US one day going "fine, we'll give up Taiwan to keep everything else" and China accepting that. Taiwan is a chilli pepper up China's ass and that's exactly where it needs to stay. A train of insults like Pelosi's for the next two decades is exactly what I need so China becomes enormously bigger, incomparably stronger, and stays really pissed off.
Because the thing is, I don't want Taiwan principally. Taiwan just gets picked up along the way. What I actually want is Hawaii. I want China to occupy or dominate every patch of dirt sticking out of the Pacific Ocean.
I certainly hope there are not to many people around who share your opinion, because that is exactly what fuels Australia's stance with China.
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