Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis
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Only real rules/laws are that of the laws of physics... the same laws of physics that are indifferent to race or geographic location when it comes to things like EUV or thermonuclear warheads, puts the "hard" in "hard"power....
Rules-based international order really means "know your place and fall in line under/behind American-led hegemony"... any country that wants to have an independent system or go its own way by definition must go against this so called "international" order
When is Eng Veggie doing the photoshoot with her cat
2 days ago, when China & PLA did not intercept and allowed Pelosi to land as she wished, I was truly disappointed. I was then willing to wait a bit more and try to understand the calculations & strategies at work. Today after analyzing them and understanding the future direction of China, I can only say.. it's a MASTERSTROKE.
To put it simply; US created a trap, passed the hot bucket to China and waited for her to fire the first shot. China strategists then turned it around, passed the same hot bucket to Taiwan and wait for them to fire the first shot, by "shutting the door and teach your son not to mix with bad influencing friends" (it's an Asian thing), in the form of long-term unofficial blockades.
The blockade will squeeze Taiwan into just two scenarios in the future; 1. Fire the first shot and Armed Reunification will commence, 2. Suffer from multi-dimensional blockades and uncertainties for long-term and in the end, persuaded for a Peaceful Reunification.
I am happy now
Also, I just found out there's a piece written and published just hours ago that I share the same view with (which gave me the confidence to write this amateur post) and I think it's a good read, here:
To put it simply; US created a trap, passed the hot bucket to China and waited for her to fire the first shot. China strategists then turned it around, passed the same hot bucket to Taiwan and wait for them to fire the first shot, by "shutting the door and teach your son not to mix with bad influencing friends" (it's an Asian thing), in the form of long-term unofficial blockades.
The blockade will squeeze Taiwan into just two scenarios in the future; 1. Fire the first shot and Armed Reunification will commence, 2. Suffer from multi-dimensional blockades and uncertainties for long-term and in the end, persuaded for a Peaceful Reunification.
I am happy now
Also, I just found out there's a piece written and published just hours ago that I share the same view with (which gave me the confidence to write this amateur post) and I think it's a good read, here:
Yup, the scale of these exercises and most importantly, the fact that the US does not dare to complain or oppose it is a huge win for China.2 days ago, when China & PLA did not intercept and allowed Pelosi to land as she wished, I was truly disappointed. I was then willing to wait a bit more and try to understand the calculations & strategies at work. Today after analyzing them and understanding the future direction of China, I can only say.. it's a MASTERSTROKE.
To put it simply; US created a trap, passed the hot bucket to China and waited for her to fire the first shot. China strategists then turned it around, passed the same hot bucket to Taiwan and wait for them to fire the first shot by "shutting the door and teach your son not to mix with bad influencing friends" (it's an Asian thing), in the form of long-term unofficial blockades.
The blockade will squeeze Taiwan into just two scenarios in the future; 1. Fire first shot and Armed Reunification will commence, 2. Suffer from multi-dimensional blockades and uncertainties for long-term and in the end, persuaded for a Peaceful Reunification.
I am happy now
Also, I just found out there's a piece written and published just hours ago that I share the same view with me (which gave me the confidence to write this amateur post) and I think it's a good read, here:
In exchange for a couple hours of embarrassment, they managed to advance the status quo hugely
That Europe still has electricity with which to access the internet I take as an indication of Russia's failure.
Coming soon, apparently (so someone said as reported in GT)
By soon i mean in the next couple of day - just incase you'd just put the coffee pot on
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2 days ago, when China & PLA did not intercept and allowed Pelosi to land as she wished, I was truly disappointed. I was then willing to wait a bit more and try to understand the calculations & strategies at work. Today after analyzing them and understanding the future direction of China, I can only say.. it's a MASTERSTROKE.
To put it simply; US created a trap, passed the hot bucket to China and waited for her to fire the first shot. China strategists then turned it around, passed the same hot bucket to Taiwan and wait for them to fire the first shot, by "shutting the door and teach your son not to mix with bad influencing friends" (it's an Asian thing), in the form of long-term unofficial blockades.
The blockade will squeeze Taiwan into just two scenarios in the future; 1. Fire the first shot and Armed Reunification will commence, 2. Suffer from multi-dimensional blockades and uncertainties for long-term and in the end, persuaded for a Peaceful Reunification.
I am happy now
Also, I just found out there's a piece written and published just hours ago that I share the same view with (which gave me the confidence to write this amateur post) and I think it's a good read, here:
Point to add (post expired for edit):
US strategists reads Sun Tzu's Art of War of course, but they forgot it's written by a Chinese. The Chinese reads it too and also reads Zhuge Liang's "The 36 Strategies", Cao Cao War Journals and many more. HA-HA.
I personally don’t think these drills will amount to much.
Missile drills, some flight/ship incursions, and that will be that. Taiwanese are desensitized to these as they happen 12 times a year. It’s not going to change the status quo. Things will calm down after this weekend again.
Ultimately China is not ready to change the status quo. It needs to maintain good business relations with EU and US. Maintain stability as instability is bad for business, prevent foreign businesses from leaving, contain Covid, and maintain economic growth. These goals are more important than responding to Pelosi.
Missile drills, some flight/ship incursions, and that will be that. Taiwanese are desensitized to these as they happen 12 times a year. It’s not going to change the status quo. Things will calm down after this weekend again.
Ultimately China is not ready to change the status quo. It needs to maintain good business relations with EU and US. Maintain stability as instability is bad for business, prevent foreign businesses from leaving, contain Covid, and maintain economic growth. These goals are more important than responding to Pelosi.
If the median line effectively disappears from now on and Taiwan doesn't or won't react, it is a change of the status quo. It means it will be harder for Taiwan to tell when an actual attack might be happening or if its just another drill.
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