Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis

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Overbom

Brigadier
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Interesting:
The PLA' s drills this time are "comprehensive and highly targeted," showing the determination of resolving Taiwan question once and for all, Chinese mainland military expert Song Zhongping told the Global Times on Wednesday.
The drill should be viewed as a war plan rehearsal, Song said, "In the event of a future military conflict, it is likely that the operational plans currently being rehearsed will be directly translated into combat operations."
"It means that our battle plan has been made clear to the US and the Taiwan authorities, and we are confident enough to inform them of the consequences of further provocation in this way," Song said.
 

horse

Colonel
Registered Member
14. The job at hand right now is to lay out the economic and political realities of how things will turn out if the DPP is allowed to continue with its insanity [...]

Xiangyu's analysis about the DPP's potential strategy within this decade is interesting, although I have to disagree on the high probability that the US will not intervene. This recent Taiwan-US provocation has emboldened it's leaders and nationalists and therefore the PLA needs to accelerate its modernization to decrease the chances that the US military may intervene in the event that Taiwan declares independence and forceful reunification is required.

I seriously doubt that the US will intervene in a mainland invasion of Taiwan.

The reason is the precision strike weapons.

Look a the Russia Ukraine war. Precision strike weapons work. Find the target, and it will be hit, and probably destroyed by one hit. Back in the distant past, the original Gulf War, between Iraq and Iran, both sides were buying Silkworm missiles from the PRC, and they were using it to hit the other side's oil tankers. Even back then Chinese missiles worked. They probably improved a little at least since then. Everyone is using them those more advanced weapons.

What will happen in this type of war today, with two adversaries with modern weapons, the precision strike will turn this into a war of attrition. Just like Russia and Ukraine.

The United States coming to defend Taiwan, they will lose something. An arm or a leg, or maybe more.

Americans dying in large numbers for Taiwan?

That sounds completely off.

:)
 
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horse

Colonel
Registered Member
Misdirection is Art of War 101.

Hu's tweets indicated that the PLAAF could do shoot downs, but did not say they would. The result is that everyone was expecting China to shoot down Pelosi's plane.

Now however, it looks like China is going to blockade Taiwan instead.

What is really funny now, is the propaganda game.

The CCP is basically saying to the Taiwan people, look at the Americans, they come to do political stunts, but do not help at all when something like blockade happens.

Usually Chinese propaganda has a bias to the positive side.

Now the PRC doing some negative campaigning.

:D
 

horse

Colonel
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What is an exercise going to do? The US called China's bluff and the only response is a military exercise AFTER Pelosi leaves.

After hyping up this event for the entire week, nothing happened and now they are censoring this event hardcore in the country. Is this a miscommunication between the propaganda arm and the rest of the government? Who knows.

What was the significant of the tariffs in the US China trade war?

What has been a general trend in Chinese tech since the US China tech war?

What does the PRC want out of this crisis?

To some of us, that seems kind of obvious.
 

Mohsin77

Senior Member
Registered Member
Which is?

Well, this is OT, but since you asked, there's only 2 civs on the planet with the proven capacity to absorb any culture. One of them is the West, and the other is Islam. Look at what Nietzsche said about this rivalry for example. I think you and I talked about this before, a while ago. In any case, like I said, this just my own opinion.
 

daifo

Captain
Registered Member
Doubt it is a real blockade, think they are just being colorful with the term. Rather ships have to avoid the 6 firing zones that is around the country.

Think Global Times is being Global Times. Yes, its a Minnie Chan article but the quote is from the Eastern Command:

It said they aimed to “rehearse a coordinated blockade, anti-naval and army attacks, and air combat to test joint fighting capabilities”.

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
 

horse

Colonel
Registered Member
This is the lesson they need to learn. This is the hill they decided to fight on for really no serious reason. Even if they fight on this Hill over the coming days, they still need to sort out their PR

What are we even talking about?

The PRC military is blocking certain ports, sea lanes, and causing more supply chain disruptions to the world economy.

And this is all about PR?

This is about power. PRC is doing this because they can. While Pelosi flies in and out, taking the US military along with her.

However, if the Americans only want to talk and boast about their PR, then that is fine too.
 

FairAndUnbiased

Brigadier
Registered Member
Being a reserve currency is not an advantage. The USA has to run a deficit.

China's strategy should have been to bid its time. Built in China 2025 and to some extent belt and road was incredibly amateurish and populist move. It gave the west a target. It was at least a decade too soon.
China should have focused on building relationships with Asian countries especially India and Japan however difficult.
Ah so a civilian program to upgrade civilian industries would be seen as a dire military threat. Really?? You think that is a given?
 

Petrolicious88

Senior Member
Registered Member
Were those who swore loyalty to the Yuan throne and fled with the Mongols to Shangdu equally as Chinese as those loyal to Ming?
Were those that swore loyalty to the CCP and then acted as double agents for the KMT equally as Chinese?

Or how about those true patriots that chose to give up their lives in the US or Europe to return to China to help with the missile technology, AI, Quantum development not real Chinese patriots? They swore no oath to the CCP. But returned to China because of their love for the nation.
 
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