Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis

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Biscuits

Major
Registered Member
I see this as a win for China if it allows them to normalize military exercises within Taiwan's territorial waters. We'll see in the next few days if they're able to pull it off without significant US involvement.
The only upset US can pull now is to interfere with the exercises.

But deadline is approaching while Reagen is moving away. Hence why I said US overplayed their hand. If they send their navy to the strait now after they claimed their "big victory", US would it make it extremely blatant that they just want war. No nominal US "ally" will join while China will have the entire non western world funneling support to them.

That is the ideal scenario for China to simply sink the US carriers, initiate military resolution over Taiwan and sign peace.

Therefore, US will almost certainly just stay put as the PLA does whatever it likes in the straits.

Americans are very very naive if they think China only had a single layer plan of "threaten to make Pelosi leave" and have in fact planned nothing if she didn't leave. Chinese government was escalating even after the Biden call, which clearly shows that even as they knew Pelosi would come, they still stepped up rhetoric.
 

Nobo

Junior Member
Registered Member
"the chances that the US military may intervene" ...

... is Zero

What Washington wants to see is Chinese killing Chinese while the Western media bubble screams with hysteria to isolate China and consolidate the European vassal club. The "Taiwanese Gambit" has the same scriptwriters as the "Ukrainian Gambit".
You can't say things like that. They make the bestestest movies ever.Specially Alien fighting ones are my favorite :( They look cute when they hold gun in their tiny baby hands & threat others.
Always remember what they say about themselves, okaaa?
kickass-kickass2.gif
 

tankphobia

Senior Member
Registered Member
The only upset US can pull now is to interfere with the exercises.

But deadline is approaching while Reagen is moving away. Hence why I said US overplayed their hand. If they send their navy to the strait now after they claimed their "big victory", US would it make it extremely blatant that they just want war. No nominal US "ally" will join while China will have the entire non western world funneling support to them.

That is the ideal scenario for China to simply sink the US carriers, initiate military resolution over Taiwan and sign peace.

Therefore, US will almost certainly just stay put as the PLA does whatever it likes in the straits.

Americans are very very naive if they think China only had a single layer plan of "threaten to make Pelosi leave" and have in fact planned nothing if she didn't leave. Chinese government was escalating even after the Biden call, which clearly shows that even as they knew Pelosi would come, they still stepped up rhetoric.
What is an exercise going to do? The US called China's bluff and the only response is a military exercise AFTER Pelosi leaves.

After hyping up this event for the entire week, nothing happened and now they are censoring this event hardcore in the country. Is this a miscommunication between the propaganda arm and the rest of the government? Who knows.
 

lcloo

Captain
2 type 055 sighted, according East Pendulum.

Translated from French:-
According to Taiwanese sources, two Type 055 destroyers were sighted on the east coast of the island on the morning of August 3. The deployment of Chinese forces for military exercises announced between August 4 and 7 appears to be underway.
0 863C.jpg
 
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