like I said previously, depend of how much PLA can push this exercise.
I think that's the part where most people are missing the forrest for the trees. The zones delineated by China for the drills are the closest to Taiwan's shores than they've been in modern history, roughly 10km/6miles at some points - the distance covered by a subsonic fighter in less than 45 seconds kind of close.
Right now, China's adversaries are still high from pulling off the Nancy stunt and view China's military drills as a natural reaction of China helplessly lashing out. But had China conducted exercises with that kind of proximity to the island at any time prior to the current events, there would be massive diplomatic protests from western nations, recalling of diplomates and possibly even sanctions.
Ultimately this event enables China to set a new norm to egress into those areas in the future at will and claim that since no one protested last time, they have the precedence to exert control over it. Taiwan and Nancy got some media boost, China got some territorial boost.
Shouldn't we be concerned such exercises will push Taiwan into declaring independence, as some forum members are so worried about ?
Then immediate armed reunification it is. Reunification will happen one way or another