Coronavirus 2019-2020 thread (no unsubstantiated rumours!)

reservior dogs

Junior Member
Registered Member
When historians write, I think 2020 will be seen as such a watershed year eg.

The US floundering with COVID, whilst China is one of the very few countries which effectively managed to control COVID
The failure of the US trade and technology war against China
The internal divisions in the USA being seen by all, with Trump nearly being re-elected, and then fomenting a coup/insurrection against Congress.
Agreed, but we do not yet have a transition of power. The U.S. today maybe no longer a hegemon, but still number one in the eyes of the world, though we are seeing the erosion of even that believe. We will see more surprises that will signal the end of the U.S. as the number one country in the world in the next decade at the most.
 

B.I.B.

Captain
In addition to the absolutely crazy conspiracy that the virus has somehow been manipulated in a lab, some people also speculate that a natural virus is somehow accidentally leaked to the public from a lab. Although it sounds more reasonable than the bioweapon conspiracy, this is flat out impossible in reality. Based on a series of "events" described by the conspiracy theorists, this particular virus was collected by biologists in a cave somewhere in Yunnan and stored in the P4 lab in Wuhan. Well, if this is true, then this virus would be the original bat virus that has never seen a human in their lives. Then some lab staff accidentally carried the virus to a nearby market someday at the end of 2019. Once leaked and once they actually see human for the first time in their lives, these talented viruses only spend a few minutes/hours to learn how to survive on human? Then they spend no time at all to learn how to jump from one human to another human? These steps involve a series of mutations that typically take years, decades and maybe centuries to accomplish. Yet, this particular one, SARS-CoV2, managed to do all of this in an afternoon??? If the virus is accidentally leaked to the public, we will see a pure bat virus, not a virus that can transmit from human to human. It is apparent to everyone that SARS-CoV2 has been in the public and co-existed with human for a long time.
What is the possibility that they have gotten hold of new specimens that could make the jump to humans?
 

vesicles

Colonel
What is the possibility that they have gotten hold of new specimens that could make the jump to humans?
Very unlikely. According to the conspiracy theorists, they got this virus from a cave in Yunnan in an uninhabited area. They went to these remote places to specifically look for weird viruses. This story line has been consistently told by all the conspiracy theorists. Let’s just entertain this story for a second. This means these viruses have never seen human. There is zero chance that these viruses can acquire the ability to jump on human when they have never seen a human in their lives. And these viruses are kept in a P4 lab that has been designed to prevent any potential contact between viruses and human. So these viruses have never seen a human before the lab and human is completely invisible to them while they are in the lab. They have zero chance to learn how to jump on human and how to move from human to human.

Yes Mutations happen all the time. How a mutated species survives will depend on their environment. If the environment doesn’t change, the unmutated normal species will kill off the competition, namely their mutated cousins, simply because of their overwhelming numbers. Only when the environment changes, the mutated species get a chance to survive. That’s the evolutionary pressure. When these viruses have never seen a human in their lives, it’s impossible for any mutant species with the capability to survive on human to actually survive. They all still live on bats. So the normal bat virus will quickly kill off any mutated the different species.
 

KYli

Brigadier

KYli

Brigadier
And the MSM helped to spread this lie. MSM allows a conspiracy theory to flourish and undermine China but eventually the conspiracy theory came back to bite them and now it is too little and too late because the genie is out of the bottle.

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Scientists said claims about China creating the coronavirus were misleading. They went viral anyway.​

The spread of the unverified assertions by Chinese scholar Li-Meng Yan, widely dismissed as ‘flawed,’ show how vulnerable scientific sites are to misuse and misunderstanding

By
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Feb. 12, 2021 at 11:35 a.m. EST
Scientists from
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,
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and other leading American universities moved with rare speed when a Chinese virologist, Li-Meng Yan, published an explosive paper in September claiming that China had created the deadly coronavirus in a research lab.

The paper, the American scientists concluded, was deeply flawed. And a new online journal from MIT Press — created specifically to vet claims related to covid-19 — reported Yan’s claims were “at times baseless and are not supported by the data” just 10 days after she posted them.

But in an age when anyone can publish anything online with just a few clicks, this response was not fast enough to keep Yan’s disputed allegations from going viral, reaching an audience in the millions on social media and Fox News. It was a development, experts on misinformation, that underscored how systems built to advance scientific understanding can be used to spread politically charged claims dramatically at odds with scientific consensus.

Yan’s work, which was posted to the scientific research repository Zenodo without any review on Sept. 14, exploded on Twitter, YouTube and far-right websites with the help of such conservative influencers as Republican strategist Stephen K. Bannon, who repeatedly pushed it on his online show “War Room: Pandemic,” according to a
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by Harvard researchers studying media manipulation. Yan expanded her claims, on Oct. 8, to blame the Chinese government explicitly for developing the coronavirus as a "bioweapon.”

Online research repositories have become key forums for revelation and debate about the pandemic. Built to advance science more nimbly, they have been at the forefront of reporting discoveries about face masks, vaccines, new covid variants and more. But the sites lack protections inherent to the traditional — and much slower — world of peer-reviewed scientific journals, where articles are published only after they’ve been critiqued by other scientists. Research shows papers posted to online sites also can be hijacked to fuel conspiracy theories.

Yan’s paper on Zenodo — despite several blistering scientific critiques and widespread news coverage of its alleged flaws — now has been viewed more than 1 million times, making it likely the most widely read research on the origins of the coronavirus pandemic, according to the Harvard misinformation researchers. They concluded that online scientific sites are vulnerable to what they called “cloaked science,” efforts to give dubious work “the veneer of scientific legitimacy.”

“They’re many years behind in realizing the capacity of this platform to be abused,” said Joan Donovan, research director at the Harvard Kennedy School’s Shorenstein Center on Media, Politics and Public Policy, which produced the report. “At this point, everything open will be exploited.”

Yan, who previously was a postdoctoral fellow at
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but fled to the United States in April, agreed in an interview with The Washington Post that online scientific sites are vulnerable to abuse, but she rejected the argument that her story is a case study in this problem.

Rather, Yan said, she is a dissident trying to warn the world about what she says is China’s role in creating the coronavirus. She used Zenodo, with its ability to instantly publish information without restrictions, because she feared the Chinese government would obstruct publication of her work. Her academic critics, she argued, will be proven wrong.
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“None of them can rebut from real, solid, scientific evidence,” Yan said. “They can only attack me.”

Zenodo acknowledged that the furor has prompted reforms, including the posting of a label Thursday above Yan’s paper saying, “Caution: Potentially Misleading Contents” after The Washington Post asked whether Zenodo would remove it. The site also prominently features links to critiques from a Georgetown University virologist and the MIT Press.

“We take misinformation really seriously, so it is something that we want to address,” said Anais Rassat, a spokeswoman for the European Organization for Nuclear Research, which operates Zenodo as a general purpose scientific site. “We don’t think taking down the report is the best solution. We want it to stay and indicate why experts think it’s wrong.”

But mainstream researchers who watched Yan’s claims race across the Internet far more quickly than they could counter them have been left troubled by the experience — newly convinced that the capacity for spreading misinformation goes far beyond the big-name social media sites. Any online platform without robust and potentially expensive safeguards is equally vulnerable.
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“This is similar to the debate we’re having with Facebook and Twitter. To what degree are we creating an instrument that speeds disinformation, and to what extent are you contributing to that?” said Stefano M. Bertozzi, editor in chief of the MIT Press online journal
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which challenged Yan’s claims.

Bertozzi added, “Most scientists have no interest in getting in a pissing match in cyberspace.”

Online scientific sites have been growing for more than a decade, becoming a vital part of the ecosystem for making and vetting claims across numerous academic fields, but their growth has been supercharged by the urgency of disseminating new discoveries about a deadly pandemic.


Yan said in her interview with The Post that Zenodo’s openness is what drove her decision to use the site. She had initially submitted her paper to bioRxiv because, as a researcher whose work has appeared in
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, the
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and other traditional publications, she knew that this preprint server would appear more legitimate to other scientists.

Yan has a medical degree from Xiangya Medical College of Central South University and a PhD in ophthalmology from Southern Medical University — both in China — and was a postdoctoral fellow at the University of Hong Kong, she said. That university
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she was no longer affiliated with it in July, following an initial appearance on Fox News, saying in a statement that her claim about the origin of the coronavirus “has no scientific basis but resembles hearsay.”
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Yan said she listed the Rule of Law entities out of respect for what she said was their work helping dissidents in China, and that they paid for her flight from Hong Kong and provided a resettlement stipend while she largely lives off her savings. She said her work is independent, and she rejected notions that Bannon was helping her spread political claims.

“I didn’t know he was so controversial when I was in Hong Kong,” Yan told The Post.

On Sept. 15, the day after Yan’s paper appeared on Zenodo, she was a guest on Fox’s “Tucker Carlson Tonight,” an appearance watched by 4.8 million broadcast viewers and 2.8 million on YouTube, and that also generated extensive engagement on Facebook and Twitter, according to the Harvard researchers. Bannon appeared on Carlson’s show that same week and discussed Yan’s claims. He also interviewed her on “War Room: Pandemic” 22 times last year, both before and after the Zenodo publication.

The political context was obvious in the midst of a hotly contested election in which President Trump was attacking his Democratic rival Joe Biden for supposedly being overly sympathetic to the Chinese government, dubbing him “Beijing Joe.” Republicans, including White House trade adviser Peter Navarro, pushed Yan’s paper along with the hashtag #CCPLiedPeopleDied, a reference to the Chinese Communist Party.
 
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localizer

Colonel
Registered Member
And the MSM helped to spread this lie. MSM allows a conspiracy theory to flourish and undermine China but eventually the conpiracy theory came back to bite them and now it is too little and too late because the genie is out of the bottle.

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That's how misinformation works.

It's the same with any snake oil salesman. Forces you to spend infinitely more effort to debunk their bullshit.
 
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