So, it's looking like the Chinese vaccination strategy will pay off big-time.
I think it's clear that currently, the PRC is choosing to prioritize vaccine export over internal use in a time of extreme demand. They've exported close to half a billion doses while only using 50 million doses domestically.
Why? Well certainly, I think the Chinese are reaping considerable economic and political benefit. Case in point, Brazil's Bolsonaro, who's stopped his anti-China spree and conversely, even publicly thanked China on Twitter for vaccine help.
However, in return, are the Chinese losing valuable vaccination time domestically? No, I'm increasingly inclined to think not.
First, winter's ending and the weather's heating up, I don't see any reason for a vaccination rush. Chinese preventative measures have controlled COVID extremely well during the warmer months. The government just needs to do a vaccination push by the end of year.
Two, more importantly, we're seeing COVID mutations proliferate. Given the ineffective COVID prevention measures elsewhere in the world, I think it's a given that dangerous COVID mutations that evade current vaccines, like the South African variant, will come to dominate.
We'll all need booster shots. The Chinese might as well wait, evaluate, and vaccinate with updated vaccines next winter, while at the same time benefiting from vaccine exports now.
Very impressed with Chinese governance in recent years, and this COVID response is no different.