Coronavirus 2019-2020 thread (no unsubstantiated rumours!)

D

Dolcevita

Major
Suddenly we have all these deadly and crocodile-transforming mutant variants (Nigel Farage Strain, Bolsanaro Strain) of the Trump
Psycho-Virus to blame and hence deflect from their own incompetence.

Did I forget to mention they are blaming CHINA?

hashtagpls said:
With the Anglo nations of Britain and Australia facing renewed lockdowns and a new more infectious strain of COVID in the UK, the Anglo leaders are quick to cast blame on China, and hopefully divert public anger away from themselves:

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1340342881521971206
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localizer said:
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AssassinsMace said:
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At least all the idiot leaders of the world seem to be on the same side.
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vesicles

vesicles

Colonel
taxiya said:
Shall we say that it is too early to determine if this "new strain" is more or as contiguous as current strains? We need some more time to say for sure, let's say at least a month?

My limited knowledge tells me that the R number represent how contiguous the virus is. To determine R number of the "new strain" we need statistic data just like how we acquired the R number for the current strains in the early time of the pandemic.
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If I’m not mistaken, this new strain has been around for a little while. Otherwise it wouldn’t be detected so easily.
 
vesicles

vesicles

Colonel
AndrewS said:
If the new strain now accounts for 60% of new infections, it almost certainly is more infectious.

And that will be reflected in the infection curve over the coming weeks.
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If the new strain is 60%, it should have already affected the curves by now. Even a minor tilt might shift the curve somewhat. Again, new strain doesn’t mean it’s functioning differently. Vast majority of mutations do nothing to function.
 
A

AndrewS

Brigadier
Registered Member
vesicles said:
If the new strain is 60%, it should have already affected the curves by now. Even a minor tilt might shift the curve somewhat. Again, new strain doesn’t mean it’s functioning differently. Vast majority of mutations do nothing to function.
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The curves have changed.

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London’s Covid-19 crisis is spiralling increasingly out of control with more than 47,000 confirmed cases in a week, official figures reveal.

The data on Monday show the number of cases in the city more than doubling in a week.

* The seven-day rate per 100,000 people jumping to 467.9 in the week to December 15, more than doubling from 225.5 on the 8th.

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Intrepid

Intrepid

Major
In the run-up to Christmas, Europeans rush from shop to shop, spending private time with friends in closed rooms. That is why there is the flu wave in winter and, this year, a Covid-19 wave as an alternative (the flu wave will not happen this winter because of the distance rules, but this does not prevent Covid-19 from spreading). The number of cases has increased in all countries, not just in the UK.

People spend more time with their friends because they don't have to go to work and have a lot of free time. Home office and short-time work are showing their effects.
 
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