Coronavirus 2019-2020 thread (no unsubstantiated rumours!)

taxiya

Brigadier
Registered Member
Is there really a new London strain or is that their latest excuse to cover up how they're still doing badly in an outbreak?
Hard to say for the moment. On the one hand, some EU countries have banned or going to ban flights from UK, indicating they are taking this new "strain" as more threatening. On the other hand, China the most stringent country in boarder control, did not report anything about this new "strain" nor any further restrictions on flight from UK. There is something fishy about this new strain being more contiguous.
 

vesicles

Colonel
Is there really a new London strain or is that their latest excuse to cover up how they're still doing badly in an outbreak?

Even there is a new strain, it doesn’t mean it’s functioning any differently than the earlier ones. The infection curves still maintain the same trajectory as predicted by the models developed based on the behavior of earlier strains. The virus has not change its function. So I would say the latter.
 

Equation

Lieutenant General
Even there is a new strain, it doesn’t mean it’s functioning any differently than the earlier ones. The infection curves still maintain the same trajectory as predicted by the models developed based on the behavior of earlier strains. The virus has not change its function. So I would say the latter.

Just curious Vesicle, how much of an effect will it have on the current Covid-19 vaccine?
 

Intrepid

Major
mainland as in China, the rest of EU, or US?
The British point of view:

"According to a famous story, a 1940s headline in one of the British newspapers once read: ‘Fog in Channel, Continent Cut Off’. While its existence has been disputed, the headline has since often been used as a symbol of Britain’s individualism and sense of isolationism with regard to continental Europe, and with it the European Union."
Source:
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AssassinsMace

Lieutenant General
Even there is a new strain, it doesn’t mean it’s functioning any differently than the earlier ones. The infection curves still maintain the same trajectory as predicted by the models developed based on the behavior of earlier strains. The virus has not change its function. So I would say the latter.


Yes that's why I wonder if some are just using that as a cover story on why they handled it so badly.
 

taxiya

Brigadier
Registered Member
Even there is a new strain, it doesn’t mean it’s functioning any differently than the earlier ones. The infection curves still maintain the same trajectory as predicted by the models developed based on the behavior of earlier strains. The virus has not change its function. So I would say the latter.
Shall we say that it is too early to determine if this "new strain" is more or as contiguous as current strains? We need some more time to say for sure, let's say at least a month?

My limited knowledge tells me that the R number represent how contiguous the virus is. To determine R number of the "new strain" we need statistic data just like how we acquired the R number for the current strains in the early time of the pandemic.
 
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