Coronavirus 2019-2020 thread (no unsubstantiated rumours!)

Jura The idiot

Jura The idiot

General
Yesterday at 9:36 PM
Jura said:
Today at 6:46 PM
I've now assumed 20000 tomorrow to create this:
Wuhan_5.jpg

it says like (don't nitpick) 'the number of cases quadruples on the 4th day'

at day #1 ... 79 cases set to the value of 1
at day #5 (the 4th day since day #1) ... 445 cases ... 445/79 is about 5.6 (should be 4.0 if it held exactly, which of course doesn't)
at day #9 (the 4th day since day #5) ... 1694 cases ... 1694/79 is about 21.4 (should be 16.0 if it held exactly, which of course doesn't)
at day #13 (the 4th day since day #9) ... 4636 cases ... 4636/79 is about 58.7 (should be 64.0 if it held exactly, which of course doesn't)
at day #17 (the 4th day since day #13) ... 10149 cases ... 10149/79 is about 128.5 (sic!) (should be 128.0 if it held exactly, which of course doesn't)
at day #21 (the 4th day since day #17) ... 20000 cases ... 20000/79 is about 253.2 (should be 256.0 if it held exactly, which of course doesn't)

the point? should it grow this way, they'd have 512*79 = 40448 cases on Wednesday, March 18

(I'm not saying this will happen, I just noticed the trend and expressed it in powers of 2)
Click to expand...
the prediction sounded outlandish to me, but now I'll do it (assumes an exponential grow from what already happened 45 minutes ago):
24248 March 15
29790 March 16
35148 March 17
40448 March 18
 
AssassinsMace

AssassinsMace

Lieutenant General

Early on South Korea was one of those hotspots for the coronavirus. Of course they're going to spotlight and praise South Korea in contrast to China. South Korea is an ally of the US. It's like when Japan went out to One Belt One Road countries to be an alternative to China when Japan is only doing the US's bidding. Why Japan and not the US? Because the US is today the face of the Western imperialist legacy. Same song but just sung to a different tune. Just like the US is using South Korea as the face of how the Western system is superior.
 
Jura The idiot

Jura The idiot

General
Anlsvrthng said:
Ok, so stay in full lockdown for half year ?

Or what is the strategy?

The full lock-down is a knee jerk move.

To protect 5% of the population they close the 100% down, and stop all economic activity.

IF they continue like this in few weeks time they run out of food.
Click to expand...
LOL I think I know what I'm doing while asking
Anlsvrthng
:
what would be your suggestion to governments, then, perhaps to tough it out?
 
A

Anlsvrthng

Captain
Registered Member
Jura said:
LOL I think I know what I'm doing while asking
Anlsvrthng
:
what would be your suggestion to governments, then, perhaps to tough it out?
Click to expand...
Segregation of the old and high risk.
Cheaper than to shut down the whole country, and more effective.

There is a risk profile , correlated with age and health condition .


Restricting the movement of all instead to protect the few is a stupid strategy.
Spare the test kits for them, continuous monitoring and so on.

The other age cohorts can go thorough the immunisation without even notice.


Every other strategy futile.
 
A

Anlsvrthng

Captain
Registered Member
localizer said:
But if this was HK, the reaction would be OMG CCP TORTURE RAPE MURDER FREEDOM DEMOCRACY FREE HK TW FLG TIBET DALAI LAMMAAAA



Also, I think I figured out why people are hoarding toilet paper.

It's the only thing they can afford to hoard.
Click to expand...
It is not only the toilet paper.

The shops started to ration all basic foodstuff, but best part of the time there is no paste, sugar, flour , water, long life milk caned food and so on. In the morning everything is OK, but in few hours time nothing left.
The shops try to fill up the shelves, but they are slow.


The price of isopropyl alcohol went up from 2-3 pounds to 30-40 pounds, if it is available.

That is joke, my leftover 3 litre has a value over 120 pounds. At least it will last for a while, but I have to restrict the use of it .
The madness will last for half year in good case, and I need 0.5 litre/month. Maybe I will use vodka for simple cleaning : D That is cheaper .



IT supposed to be way cheaper than the consumable alcohol, now it is cost close as much as the same amount of JAck Daniel.

The denatured alcohol has the same fate.

I have no clue where everyone put all of those stuff, making furniture from the toilet papers and pillows from pasta bags ?

The eggs disappears as well .

Good time to be in the grocery business .
 
A

Anlsvrthng

Captain
Registered Member
Jura said:
please describe your:

(perhaps you would've put them in some camps?)
Click to expand...
No time to build camps. Hotels ,military barracks , or anything else.
In the meantime build something more comfortable for them .

But it would affect only the ones living with family members, best part of them live alone, they need only elevated support, they are the ones need the masks for themselves and visitors, the visitors need constant checking of virus and so on .

I know an old, high risk lady who keep an eye on grandkids during half terms .

Guess who will keep an eye on them if the schools close ?
 
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