Coronavirus 2019-2020 thread (no unsubstantiated rumours!)

Sardaukar20

Captain
Registered Member
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CGTN admitting the new numbers of the Chinese Covid-19 cases. By China standards, 1,938 cases in one day is bad.

So, total cases and deaths in greater China now stands at:

1) Mainland China:
Cases: 115,466
Deaths: 4,643 (unchanged since Jan 2021)

2) Hong Kong:
Cases: 254,943
Deaths: 3,729

3) Macao:
Cases: 82
Deaths: 0

4) Taiwan:
Cases: 21,225
Deaths: 853

Total:
Cases: 391,716
Deaths: 9,225

Interestingly, even with all of Greater China combined. Their numbers are better than the vast majority of democratic, Liberal countries around the world.

Although I'm supportive of China's zero Covid-19 policy. I do question, where is China's endgame with regards to the virus in its current form. The combination of vaccines and a relatively milder Omicron variant has quite significantly toned down Covid-19's deadliness. I wonder at what threshold should China consider this virus an endemic common flu virus. Are they waiting for WHO to give the greenlight?
 

56860

Senior Member
Registered Member
It is now or never. China needs to step up the fight against covid.
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The northeastern province of
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reported 1,412 local cases, the northern province of
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had 175 and the southern province of
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reported 62. The number of new asymptomatic cases, which
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does not classify as confirmed cases, was 1,455, up from 1,173 a day earlier.
Is China actually planning to pivot from zero COVID? This is uncharacteristic. I would not expect China to let it get this bad this quickly. They have controlled breakouts of Omicron before, they can do it again.
 

KYli

Brigadier
Is China actually planning to pivot from zero COVID? This is uncharacteristic. I would not expect China to let it get this bad this quickly. They have controlled breakouts of Omicron before, they can do it again.
Don't think so. At least not at the moment. Don't read too much into the number of cases. Jilin outbreak was due to a college principal decided not to report cases. Other places would implement soft lock down first before pivot to a hard lock down. I am more worried about since so many provinces have cases, they would have difficult to stamp out the virus at the same time.

I think the new outbreak would put an end to targeted lock down. Shanghai's model of surgical lock down is difficult to implement in other places. Beside, Shanghai is having difficulty to stamp out the virus with this method this time due to Omicron being more contagious.
 

KYli

Brigadier
Although I'm supportive of China's zero Covid-19 policy. I do question, where is China's endgame with regards to the virus in its current form. The combination of vaccines and a relatively milder Omicron variant has quite significantly toned down Covid-19's deadliness. I wonder at what threshold should China consider this virus an endemic common flu virus. Are they waiting for WHO to give the greenlight?
Endgame supposes to be next spring if everything goes according to the plan. Before the current outbreak, they plan to experiment with an open up of a few cities with outside world to test to see if they could cope with the virus. However, HK outbreak basically has given them the answer and data which is a surge of cases due to the highly contagious Omicron would overwhelm the hospitals and result in many deaths.

Surgical lock down that was recommended by some experts doesn't seem to work well for many places. As not many cities have the same resources as Shanghai has. In addition, even Shanghai seems to fail at containing the virus with its surgical lock down policy at the moment.

Chinese experts make it clear that they have noticed that Omicron is less lethal. However, Omicron is much more contagious which means within a short period of time it could infest so many people and overwhelm the hospitals. That means unless China is willing to accept a mortality rate similar like HK did then China can't open up at the moment.

What they looking for right now is more vaccination especially for the elderly with boost shots, a second generation vaccines that works well against Omicron, and pills or cure that can significantly lower hospitalizations and deaths.

I still think China would open up next spring as long as the variant that emerges during the winter wouldn't be more deadly than Omicron.
 

56860

Senior Member
Registered Member
Don't think so. At least not at the moment. Don't read too much into the number of cases. Jilin outbreak was due to a college principal decided not to report cases. Other places would implement soft lock down first before pivot to a hard lock down. I am more worried about since so many provinces have cases, they would have difficult to stamp out the virus at the same time.

I think the new outbreak would put an end to targeted lock down. Shanghai's model of surgical lock down is difficult to implement in other places. Beside, Shanghai is having difficulty to stamp out the virus with this method this time due to Omicron being more contagious.
Lol, rip that guy. He's probably going to get locked up for life or executed.
 

getready

Senior Member
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CGTN admitting the new numbers of the Chinese Covid-19 cases. By China standards, 1,938 cases in one day is bad.

So, total cases and deaths in greater China now stands at:

1) Mainland China:
Cases: 115,466
Deaths: 4,643 (unchanged since Jan 2021)

2) Hong Kong:
Cases: 254,943
Deaths: 3,729

3) Macao:
Cases: 82
Deaths: 0

4) Taiwan:
Cases: 21,225
Deaths: 853

Total:
Cases: 391,716
Deaths: 9,225

Interestingly, even with all of Greater China combined. Their numbers are better than the vast majority of democratic, Liberal countries around the world.

Although I'm supportive of China's zero Covid-19 policy. I do question, where is China's endgame with regards to the virus in its current form. The combination of vaccines and a relatively milder Omicron variant has quite significantly toned down Covid-19's deadliness. I wonder at what threshold should China consider this virus an endemic common flu virus. Are they waiting for WHO to give the greenlight?
Interesting, I never seen the comparison before between regions in greater China. Just by numbers you can tell hk really FUBARed their whole covid situation. A place of abput 7m people with deaths approaching whole of mainland. And they had many warnings and even close experience with SARS prior to this.

macao rarely mentioned but they actually performed well. I wonder how they did it with massive casino operations making up most of their economy. And lastly tw, after their initial vaccine Feck up, appears they are doing better. Although their deaths are slightly higher than Australia despite slightly smaller population

I think China authorities will take advice from who but ultimately they decide for themselves when conditions are suitable for opening up slowly. There were indications it was after winter Olympics but since both who and China recognize omicron isn't just like flu, it didn't happen. Plus of course hk disaster happened. Although mainland has higher percentage of vaccination and boosted population than hk.
 

SanWenYu

Captain
Registered Member
1807 + 1315 (476 + 1048 yesterday)

Even though everyone is watching Shanghai, Jilin is actually where the most new cases are added today.

Symptomatic cases:

Jilin 1412 (134 yesterday), Shandong 175 (159), Guangdong 62 (33), Shan'xi 39 (30), Jiangshu 23 (20), Tianjin 17 (35), Zhejiang 15 (23), Shanghai 1 (5).

114 asymptomatic cases became symptomatic, most of them are in Shandong.

本土病例1807例(吉林1412例,其中长春市831例、吉林市571例、延边朝鲜族自治州9例、四平市1例;山东175例,其中青岛市150例、德州市13例、淄博市5例、威海市5例、日照市1例、滨州市1例;广东62例,其中深圳市60例、东莞市2例;陕西39例,其中宝鸡市31例、西安市6例、汉中市2例;河北33例,其中廊坊市23例、沧州市9例、保定市1例;江苏23例,均在连云港市;天津17例,其中西青区8例、武清区5例、河西区3例、津南区1例;浙江15例,其中杭州市12例、嘉兴市1例、湖州市1例、衢州市1例;重庆8例,均在沙坪坝区;北京6例,其中朝阳区3例、海淀区1例、门头沟区1例、顺义区1例;甘肃5例,其中兰州新区4例、兰州市1例;黑龙江3例,均在哈尔滨市;贵州2例,均在遵义市;云南2例,均在德宏傣族景颇族自治州;内蒙古1例,在呼伦贝尔市;辽宁1例,在沈阳市;上海1例,在闵行区;河南1例,在濮阳市;湖南1例,在湘潭市),含114例由无症状感染者转为确诊病例(山东111例,北京1例,浙江1例,河南1例)

Asymptomatic cases:

Jilin 744 (266), Guangdong 194 (191), Shandong 172 (400), Shanghai 64 (76), Hebei 40 (22), Ganshu 36 (40), Yunnan 20 (19), Jiangshu 19 (13).

159 probable cases became confirmed (45 are imported).

本土1315例(吉林744例,其中吉林市697例、长春市42例、延边朝鲜族自治州3例、四平市1例、梅河口市1例;广东194例,其中东莞市188例、深圳市6例;山东172例,其中青岛市78例、威海市74例、淄博市11例、德州市4例、潍坊市2例、烟台市1例、聊城市1例、滨州市1例;上海64例,其中浦东新区35例、闵行区10例、金山区4例、黄浦区3例、宝山区3例、嘉定区3例、长宁区2例、徐汇区1例、静安区1例、普陀区1例、松江区1例;河北40例,其中廊坊市33例、沧州市6例、石家庄市1例;甘肃36例,其中兰州新区19例、白银市9例、兰州市8例;云南20例,其中德宏傣族景颇族自治州18例、昆明市1例、临沧市1例;江苏19例,其中连云港市16例、宿迁市2例、扬州市1例;天津9例,其中武清区4例、河东区1例、河西区1例、南开区1例、西青区1例、滨海新区1例;广西9例,其中崇左市4例、柳州市3例、防城港市2例;陕西4例,其中西安市3例、宝鸡市1例;辽宁2例,均在丹东市;北京1例,在朝阳区;重庆1例,在沙坪坝区);当日转为确诊病例159例(境外输入45例)
 
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