That's a very important point. China's overall expansion in FAB is close to 50-60% of worlds total at this point.but what will be more interesting is that if amat/lam has 30+ sales from china, and we know there are naura, amec also sells some of theirs in China , and rapidly inscresasing, so what means the FAB capacity added will be much more than 30% in China, in the coming years, the fab capacity will be like real over-capacity for the world.
usa through all the subsidies and shenanigans capturing around 10% of new WFE from AMAT/LAM, so almost no way Foundries are coming back to usa in the long run.
Now the main point is, in next 3-4 years China will flood the global market in sub 14nm Chips too but will there be a blanket Ban on Chinese chips among western countries?
As for WFE excluding Lithography, I think by this year China has fully fledged sub 7nm equipments for Deposition, Etch and everything else. But these tools require refinement which will take another 1 year or so.
Remember, IIRC, China wanted to have a full supply chain for 28nm by 2025 when the talk emerged around 2022 sanctions by Biden. So they put performed again by going all the way to even sub 7nm for these tools