North China Huachuang (NAURA): The establishment of the third phase of the Big Fund will boost the valuation of the sector and benefit the leading companies
The third phase of China's semiconductor big fund has been established, with a scale equal to the sum of the first two phases, and we expect that the third phase of the big fund will invest in high-end products, equipment, and materials in the semiconductor field to further enhance the voice of China's local semiconductor industry. From past experience, after the establishment of the first and second phases of the big fund, the confidence of the semiconductor sector has been boosted, and the sector has outperformed the market in the short term. It is good for the stock price of leading companies.
Looking ahead, as a domestic equipment platform enterprise, the company has accumulated a lot of semiconductor equipment fields such as etching, deposition, heat treatment, and cleaning equipment. While carrying the heavy responsibility of localization, its own market space has also been further opened. We expect the company's net profit in 2024-26 to be 5.8 billion yuan, 7.5 billion yuan and 9 billion yuan, with YOY growth of 49%, 29% and 21%, EPS of 10.96 yuan, 14.12 yuan and 17.07 yuan, and the current stock price corresponds to 29 times, 23 times and 19 times PE in 2024-26, respectively, and gives a buy rating.
The establishment of the third phase of the Big Fund boosts industry confidence: The third phase of the National Big Fund was officially established on May 24, with a registered capital of 344 billion yuan, slightly higher than the total size of the first and second phases.
From the perspective of investment direction, we expect the third phase of the Big Fund to further focus on domestic breakthroughs in high-end products, equipment, and materials in the semiconductor field (for example, lithography machines and related materials, AI-related computing chips and storage chips). From the perspective of shareholder structure, the Ministry of Finance, China Development Bank Investment, Yizhuang Investment, Shanghai Guosheng, Shenzhen Kunpeng, and several banks including the Big Four have invested, and the shareholder background is strong. In terms of its impact, we believe that the establishment of the third phase of the Big Fund will help boost the confidence of the Huadian conductor sector, and from past experience, the sector has mostly positive returns relative to the market one month after the establishment of Phases 1 and 2. Phase 2 is particularly obvious. As the domestic leader of semiconductor equipment, the company has advantages in multiple products in subdivided fields and will actively participate in the upgrading of the domestic semiconductor industry.