I think we are all missing why TSMC is doing this to begin with. It's not about the subsidies. It is about giving Taiwanese people an avenue of escape. Just look at all the union complaints about Taiwanese people moving there and TSMC saying they can't use Americans.View attachment 122870
After investing FORTY BILLIONS in the US, mostly because political pressure from US and Taiwanese politicians, ladies and gentlemen , TSMC is only going to receive a paltry 200 million dollars of the Chip act money, SAMSUNG with half of TSMC investment is going to recieve 6 TIMES what TSMC is going to recieve. On top of that by receiving this paltry 200 million dollars TSMC will have to curtail their investment in China, leaving the company more weak against their Mainland archrival (SMIC) and Now HuaHong that is planning to launch a 14nm process node next year.
Considering that this Arizona fab have to compete with their Taiwanese facilities in price, if they cannot get those prices low down then I have my doubts that US companies are going to move their production from Taiwan to the US, given that the most advance nodes is going to be still in Taiwan and making chips for the US military cannot justify a 40 billion dollar investment. To reduce cost TSMC would have to create a mini Taiwan in the middle of the desert, hiring US worker is not going to cut it and more that Intel and Micron a building their own fabs and they pay more. So if TSMC Arizona fail the political fallout in that island is going be brutal.
It's clear to me that the goal is to use this as an opportunity for Taiwanese people to leave Taiwan. Considering Taiwan's current economic issues, this is very popular.
Ironically, this actually improves relationships with China. Since those leaving are certainly those who support the American regime. All in all I think this chips act is a great thing for China. Hopefully in the long run they'll get more money for the exodus. Sadly, the 200 million tells me USA isn't that ignorant of what is happening.