Very interesting. Not only they will successfully stop ASML from selling its machines to SMIC but also to Samsung, TSMC in China. Then they will close their Fab in China and leave.
Doubt it, Fat Mike (Pompeo) in the Trump administration tried to ban both DUVi and EUV but the Dutch goverment opposed to the idea and give the Americans the EUV ban as was establish in the Wassenaar Agreement, so unless there is a shooting war in the Taiwan strait (wont matter anyways because that event will be disruptive as f*ck) or China openly decide to support Russia military with hardware, I don't think they will get it this time.