Russian situation is going to be a godsend for the Chinese semiconductor:That's why they should try hard to not get sanctioned in the next couple of years. As long as Russia is the news, it's a reprieve for China. The moment they have most of what they need, it won't be a big deal if sanctions go full board.
Also, we are so far from 2024 that I wouldn't be too concerned about who is the next president yet.
1. They have their own semiconductor industry that neither too sophisticated (where China cannot help) nor too backwards (with no potential to grow)
2. They are sanctioned from every other equipment and chemical suppliers
3. They will accept more help and more experimental equipment especially if it's offered at a discount - basically, offering user experience data for some money back. Note that many companies will never reveal their actual process data back to the manufacturer.
4. They divert foreign funding to software and fossil fuel energy rather than towards challenging China in hardware.
5. They make people forget about semiconductor as 99% of CNN/Fox News watchers who see a 2 minute blurb about TSMC are now semiconductor PhDs will now see a 2 minute blurb about Ukraine and think they're generals.