Come on, we know war is coming !
Chinese Internal Politics
- Thread starter FairAndUnbiased
- Start date
Come on, we know war is coming !
I don’t think the CPC has the stomach to finish off these separatists. Lots of warnings and complaining but I want to see strong actions. CPC can do so much more but refuses to do it.
No but material actions will probably come soon on economic front. There's already plenty of noise on rolling back ECFA and this will cement that.
"Peaceful negotiation" is a sham sold by politicians who only wanted to focus on their economic projects while kicking the can of national defense down the road. The attitude is to blame for the exacerbation in territorial aggression threats against China.
The only silver lining is that the politicians have at least ensured that the ground work for a highly effective defense exists.
Likewise, the ECFA is a scam that doesn't address the risk of sensitive Chinese origin products leaking uncontrolled to other parts of the world from Taiwan. It undermines China's security and must be scrapped, exchanged into a new, more controlling framework as soon as possible.
Peaceful reunification won’t happen. It’s time to stop believing in this theory.
There were lots of warnings up till Korean war, 1962 border war with India and 1979 Sino-Vietnam war.
All in all, would say that military reunification will come (85%+) and likely before 2030.
Chest thumping like a gorilla is pointless PR. The only thing we should continue focusing on is military development and procurement
I don’t know why people are stuck up about peace and resorting to copium when the painting has been clear for the last decade. These people are basically the same people between 2014-2022 Russia - Ukraine about wanting a peaceful resolution due to fraternal relations.
Then they are surprised when they get caught with their pants down. Only difference is China is preparing while Russia as per Putin naively continued believing there was good faith intentions and negotiations for several years.
I think that will ultimately depend on the 2024 election. Biden wins and it will probably happen before 2028 while Trump would likely postpone it to beyond 2028. IMO I do not believe Trump wants to be the one who more or less starts WW3 neither does he wants his legacy to be remember as the guy who went to war with China.
The biggest difference is that Ukraine adopted the chest thumping method of shooting into the disputed areas, but without the massed numbers needed to achieve any concrete results. And unlike US-China, Russia-Ukraine has major demographic, military and economic advantages to Russia.
Unlike Ukraine, China has enough weapons that if they decide to go the chest thumping route and just shell the separatists, it wouldn't just cause minor inconvenience, but make the whole disputed area unlivable.
So while Ukraine is getting its head slowly bashed in, the same fate is far from assured for China, which has much much better conditions for holding Taiwan than Ukraine did for holding the Donbass.