Relentless China Inflows Spur Call for Strongest Yuan Since 1993
- Currency could rise to 6 a dollar on strong fund influx: Citi
- Foreigners boosted pace of adding Chinese notes this year
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“The problem China faces next year will be huge, unrelenting capital inflow,” Citi’s Liu said. “The yuan’s appreciation will be a key threat to China’s macro economy.”
A rapid advance in the yuan could impair Chinese exports by making them more expensive. That will in turn hurt China’s growth, because the nation’s outbound shipments have emerged as a key driver for the economy on global demand for its pandemic-related goods. Also, sustained appreciation in the currency could attract speculative money inflows, fueling local asset bubbles and creating financial risks.
That’s why policy makers will seek to slow the advance, said Dariusz Kowalczyk, senior emerging-markets strategist at Credit Agricole CIB.
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Funny how at the start of the year, people were saying PRC was doomed. Now the yuan is a safe haven compared to the dollar, and is appreciating too quickly because capital is flowing into too quickly (lol). Too much of a good thing is not good. Needs to be controlled. But Ray Dalio was right in saying investing in China is the way to go.