You assume the US wouldn't convince the Europeans to make a blanket ban on sale of aircraft components to China. Just like they did with Russia.
Well, China hasn't invaded any European country and is unlikely to ever do so.
You assume the US wouldn't convince the Europeans to make a blanket ban on sale of aircraft components to China. Just like they did with Russia.
Because the US government moves aren't necessarily rational. Would a rational person do what the US government did from 2018 onward? Start a trade war, then expand it to technology war and political war? US own private sector has largely begged the government not to do it and drop the tariffs and various blockades. And while one might have thought, before 2018, that the US private sector has way more clout than the actual government when it comes to making various laws stick - it seems that's not really always the case. When both Republicans and Democrats actually agree on something that has a patriotic tone to it - then all the money and all the lobbying in the world from the private sector won't really change their minds. Paradoxically, all those tariffs and blockades may make China even stronger in the long run - and that's something that the private sector seems to grasp but those lawmakers don't seem to be getting - they seem to be all about the short term impact.why would US ban export of subsystems for C919? That would be a really stupid idea since Boeing would inevitably get a similar treatment and lose huge market share to Airbus.
Because the US government moves aren't necessarily rational. Would a rational person do what the US government did from 2018 onward? Start a trade war, then expand it to technology war and political war? US own private sector has largely begged the government not to do it and drop the tariffs and various blockades. And while one might have thought, before 2018, that the US private sector has way more clout than the actual government when it comes to making various laws stick - it seems that's not really always the case. When both Republicans and Democrats actually agree on something that has a patriotic tone to it - then all the money and all the lobbying in the world from the private sector won't really change their minds. Paradoxically, all those tariffs and blockades may make China even stronger in the long run - and that's something that the private sector seems to grasp but those lawmakers don't seem to be getting - they seem to be all about the short term impact.
So... banning subsystems for C919 is not out of the question. It may happen. You may think it's unlikely, I may think it's more than likely, but we'll see. It's definitely something Comac should take into account.
Incorrect. Apple and Tesla are China's biggest cheerleaders in corporate America. Boeing is probably thirdYou really want to compare Boeing to semiconductor companies? Boeing without Chinese sales could very well go bankrupt in their current environment. The implication of Boeing filing chapter 11 on US economy would be catastrophic. On top of this, Boeing would have to find new part suppliers to replace the Chinese ones. That would be hugely detrimental to their quarterly production and earnings. Boeing is probably China's biggest cheerleader in corporate America.
If we go back to chips, that's because there is no alternative to US suppliers. There is a real alternative to Boeing here in Airbus. Comparing apples to oranges here.
While Safran is confident that it will be able to meet the production goal proposed by Airbus, it remains cautious. Andries noted that «it is not yet time to report on this particular issue as the supply chain has been severely compromised by the crisis.»
You really want to compare Boeing to semiconductor companies? Boeing without Chinese sales could very well go bankrupt in their current environment. The implication of Boeing filing chapter 11 on US economy would be catastrophic. On top of this, Boeing would have to find new part suppliers to replace the Chinese ones. That would be hugely detrimental to their quarterly production and earnings. Boeing is probably China's biggest cheerleader in corporate America.
If we go back to chips, that's because there is no alternative to US suppliers. There is a real alternative to Boeing here in Airbus. Comparing apples to oranges here.
Yes!. US would support Boeing and just bail it out. What is happening to Russia is a just prequel to what will happen to China. An event in South China Sea, or India border, or Taiwan.. Make no mistake China will be hit exactly like Russia hit. there is no rational decision making anymore.