China's SCS Strategy Thread

RobertC

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USNI News has a good report on ship maneuvers along with some historical background
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Taiban got the key quote
The United States reaffirms an armed attack on Philippine public vessels, aircraft, and armed forces
A salt water hose-down and maybe some paint scraping ain't gonna pass muster with anyone as an armed attack. Leaving the USN with the firing-the-first-shot problem. While China has flooded the zone with its disciplined and exercised PLAN-CCG-MM fleets.

It's the South China Sea.

PS I made a mistake with ship identification: it was the CMMV 00001 positioned for contact blocking of the Green Hull.
 

Temstar

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The United States reaffirms an armed attack on Philippine public vessels, aircraft, and armed forces—including those of its Coast Guard in the SCS—would invoke US mutual defense commitments under Art. IV of the 1951 US Philippines Mutual Defense Treaty


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This is a really dumb move politically. As @RobertC points out the next question PCG will ask is, is water cannon an armed attack?

If yes: so is US going to do anything about it under MDT? If not US is a paper tiger
If no: it's now open season for CCG water cannon crew

This is a question that is best left intentionally vague, but now people will ask it.
 
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ansy1968

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The United States reaffirms an armed attack on Philippine public vessels, aircraft, and armed forces—including those of its Coast Guard in the SCS—would invoke US mutual defense commitments under Art. IV of the 1951 US Philippines Mutual Defense Treaty


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Their message isn't heard or being ignored in Beijing, so those veiled threat is nothing but a used toilet paper.

Their strategy is to gang up on Beijing using international pressure, they didn't calculate the potential China respond, in today's situation with the Ukraine war, the West narrative is being questioned and that lessen the chances of war in the SCS as other's in the ASEAN remained neutral.

The reason is very simple, it's our backyard and even Japan don't want the crisis to escalate.
 
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ansy1968

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China always knew that Philippines was under America's thumb which is why it never made any big investment there even when Duterte was in power and was basically begging Xi to do so
Bro even before the economic link is very strong due to proximity and also by us Hua Qiao. Whatever pressure the US bring on us that will never change as the Chinese influence is very strong and With China Rising it will become more stronger.
 

ansy1968

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