China's SCS Strategy Thread

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Index

Junior Member
Registered Member
ansy1968 said:
And also Marcos, all this circus is trying to get Uncle Sam attention and its promises. I don't know why the US choose the Philippine as the Fulcrum of its containment policy,
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Because they're getting serious cold feet about if they can take Taiwan or not.
ansy1968 said:
we're a liability, we are like a leech sucking up the blood of our benefactor. IF I'm the one planning I be focusing instead on Indonesia, a large population and a bigger geostrategic value than the Philippine as they're the door keeper of the Malacca straight.
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Philippines is far from an ideal candidate but an idea is that it's better to lose Philippines than to send the whole US navy into an attack on Chinese core lands, only to get everything sunk.

If China smashes Philippines into fine paste, US can at least argue for EU to oppose China economically.

The risks for US to bank on China to attack Philippines is much lower than for US themselves to come out at Taiwan, and can achieve the same economical effects regarding EU.

Another line of thinking is that China maybe will not give as much energy fighting an offensive war vs a defensive war.
 
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ansy1968

Brigadier
Registered Member
Index said:
Because they're getting serious cold feet about if they can take Taiwan or not.

Philippines is far from an ideal candidate but an idea is that it's better to lose Philippines than to send the whole US navy into an attack on Chinese core lands, only to get everything sunk.
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The value of the Philippine for the Chinese is irrelevant, having build those artificial island and secured the SCS, the Philippines geostrategic value had plummeted. And also the fight will be on the 2nd island chain and the Chinese will dictate it NOT the American. Expect the PLAN to implement a blockage and commercial harassment of Philippine major port like Batangas, Manila and Subic and also Kaohsiung in Taiwan and let the American Navy come to the hornet nest to relief and assist them.

Index said:
If China smashes Philippines into fine paste, US can at least argue for EU to oppose China economically.

The risks for US to bank on China to attack Philippines is much lower than for US themselves to come out at Taiwan, and can achieve the same economical effects regarding EU.

Another line of thinking is that China maybe will not give as much energy fighting an offensive war vs a defensive war.
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IF the expected military respond will not materialized then bye bye PAX AMERICANA, the US is putting themselves in a bind that a tiny rebuff will result to a lost of prestige that will damage their reputation irreversibly.
 
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T

tch1972

Junior Member
Index said:
Towing them won't achieve anything long term, they'll just send back more disposable people. China doesn't have that many low paid no lifers they can buy to sit on an anchored ship in medieval sanitary conditions for months to years.

The real problem is that Philippines hasn't felt the pain yet. We need a shooting war, a severe whipping of the whole Philippines national character, the likes of what the IJA and US army did to their population in their past. Only then will they love China, like they love Japan and US.

China should wait 3-10 years though. The situation in middle east and Europe will serve to stretch US thinner or even so thin they cannot do anything for Philippines at all. Also the militarization of China in both national character and military investment has not yet begun.
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China gave too much warning without real action. People perceive her as paper tiger. Chinese govt deserves a kick on their butt. They ought to be ashamed to let countries like philliphines lead them by the nose.
 
Dante80

Dante80

Junior Member
Registered Member
tch1972 said:
China gave too much warning without real action. People perceive her as paper tiger. Chinese govt deserves a kick on their butt. They ought to be ashamed to let countries like philliphines lead them by the nose.
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This is not how things work in real life, but it is how terminally online people engaged in nationalistic circlejerks perceive real life.

Be better, go touch grass.
 
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tankphobia

tankphobia

Senior Member
Registered Member
They can play bumper boats for another 10 years and not much will come of it. Other than perhaps bankrupting the Phillipines coast guard. The contested territories is already at the edge of SCS, why bother escalating when the current path is already fully detering all other parties from trying anything.
 
M

Micron

Junior Member
Registered Member
The clock is ticking away and those who thinks China would not respond are silly fools.
The coming months ahead are very dangerous time to Philippine.
Who knows what will happened next.
We can only say that China is highly adept in their Art of War.
Even NS advisor Jake Sullivan is honestly looking worried.
More so when President Xi agree to meet him. The warning is in his speech.
Signs are out there.
Jake Sullivan and his team are beginning to freak out.
He only knows that they have completely lost their script and footing.
Even BlackRock is now denying that they are withdrawing from China.
 
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