China need a new geopolitical Doctrine ?

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Mohsin77

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What isn't being talked about enough is the preparations China is making for the collapse of the US dollar. The timelines are shifting. 2 years ago, Chris Hedges predicted that 2030 will be the year. I just asked a friend of mine who works in the capital markets in NYC, and he said that it may happen much sooner, maybe by 2026...

China/Russia/Pakistan/Kazakhstan recently agreed to start trading in local currencies. This is a baby step. The Yuan needs to increase its share in order to stabilize the markets, in case the dollar collapses suddenly. Right now, the Euro is the 2nd most held currency, and the Yuan is 4th I think... Maybe China should push as many banks/countries to increase their Yuan holdings as soon as possible, before interest rates in the US turn negative...?
 

Gatekeeper

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Great debate by himself against a table of westerners. Eric Li on China, Taiwan and Hong Kong at the Nexus conference.


Apologies to hillupilllw who posted this on the Hong Kong thread. Might as well leave it here.
 
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davidau

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Great debate by himself against a table of westerners. Eric Li on China, Taiwan and Hong Kong at the Nexus conference.


Apologies to hillupilllw who posted this on the Hong Kong thread. Might as well leave it here.
Excellent video and well answered. In fact from the Ming dynasty, Admiral Cheng He with his huge self sustaining fleet went to different countries, eg from Chian to Malaysia to Horn of Africa... Did they take an inch of their territory? NO! Could we say the same about Britain, Spain, Portugal, Germany, French, US and so on? NO. Remember China invented gunpowder, compass and paper, but they did not use these advantages to create adventurism, colonisation, occupation of other nations. Don't forget the ancient silk road for trading from China to Asia Minor and some European countries. Now, of course, we have the Belt and Road Initiative [BRI] trading by sea and by road, and rail from China to Asia and onto Europe. China is interested in trade in a mutually respectful ways, win-win and not by zero sum. History and culture teach us lots, and we should heed, and respect these national treasures. China has 5000 years history to go with it, wisdom.
 
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montyp165

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Excellent video and well answered. In fact from the Ming dynasty, Admiral Cheng He with his huge self sustaining fleet went to different countries, eg from Chian to Malaysia to Horn of Africa... Did they take an inch of their territory? NO! Could we say the same about Britain, Spain, Portugal, Germany, French, US and so on? NO. Remember China invented gunpowder, compass and paper, but they did not use these advantages to create adventurism, colonisation, occupation of other nations. Don't forget the ancient silk road for trading from China to Asia Minor and some European countries. Now, of course, we have the Belt and Road Initiative [BRI] trading by sea and by road, and rail from China to Asia and onto Europe. China is interested in trade in a mutually respectful ways, win-win and not by zero sum. History and culture teach us lots, and we should heed, and respect these national treasures. China has 5000 years history to go with it, wisdom.

Napoleon's quote about China being a sleeping dragon definitely holds true in this regard, the western imperialists provoked the dragon and instilled a strong resolve to their great regret.
 

AndrewS

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An interesting essay to ponder over China's Grand Strategy. Basically:

The 1st route is regional supremacy (whether economic, military, political) which then frees up the resources for global activities.
But that would be difficult to achieve.

and/or

The 2nd route is for China to create a favourable global balance of power.
That reduces the need for overwheming regional supremacy in the Western Pacific.

The Big Think
CHINA HAS TWO PATHS TO GLOBAL DOMINATION

And a lot is riding on whether Washington can figure out which strategy Beijing has chosen.


Xi Jinping’s China is displaying a superpower’s ambition. Only a few years ago, many American observers still hoped that China would reconcile itself to a supporting role in the liberal international order or would pose—at most—a challenge to U.S. influence in the Western Pacific. The conventional wisdom was that China would seek an expanded regional role—and a reduced U.S. role—but would defer to the distant future any global ambitions. Now, however, the signs that China is gearing up to contest America’s global leadership are unmistakable, and they are ubiquitous.

Read more
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jimmyjames30x30

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An interesting essay to ponder over China's Grand Strategy. Basically:

The 1st route is regional supremacy (whether economic, military, political) which then frees up the resources for global activities.
But that would be difficult to achieve.

and/or

The 2nd route is for China to create a favourable global balance of power.
That reduces the need for overwheming regional supremacy in the Western Pacific.

I would say that the "Three Kingdoms" would give you that answer. A country like Japan would only opt for a regional supremacy. Chinese people will always follow in the steps of their forefathers' political heritage.

Just like in the "Three Kingdoms", Cao Cao (曹操) went with the route of creating favorable balance of power(挟天子以令诸侯), instead of only thinking about securing more regional territories. This eventually led to him defeating much more powerful foe like Yuan Shao(袁绍).

This was so influential and powerful that even his own contemporaries (also his adversaries) have to quickly adapt to and adopt what he has done. The remaining factions has to give up their quarrels and beginning to coordinate in a way to counterbalance Cao Cao, instead of only furthering their own selfish national interests.

China is simple not a meek and mediocre actor like Japan, which only wants their own little East-Asian world, closed off to other Non-East-Asian races/nations and the rest of the world. China will always follow Cao Cao whenever they can: exert more influence outward, squeezing more effect out of every inch of Her actual power. Just like Cao Cao, who himself only has two provinces under his command but would influence and coerce other more powerful foes to act in ways that will further his own interest.
 
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