I think it is a lot more likely for SA to buy/ask for warheads from Pakistan. They are diplomatically close and Pakistan's nuclear program received some assistance (mostly funds) from SA.
China Ballistic Missiles and Nuclear Arms Thread
- Thread starter peace_lover
- Start date
- Status
Another ballistic missile or anti ballistic missile test took place around 18:00 Beijing time today.
Did we ever figure out what this was lol
It was launched from Jilantai and made impact in Minfeng target zone.
Very similar NOTAM to the test in November, could it be another operational test for an IRBM or ICBM?
China's Space Program Thread II
Moonscape (images courtesy of the Chang'e 4 mission).
www.sinodefenceforum.com
Almost forget about this one, presumably the engine for the newest variant of DF-5.
Just in case someone didn't catch up on previous discussion, it was rumored to be a 100t class engine.
Another try to solve HMX production rate mystery.
The factory bids at least 22 batches of Acetic Anhydride and each batch is either 480 tons or 640 tons based on government auction information.
Here we take a rough estimation by 500t per batch then there will be 11,000 tons Acetic Anhydride auctioned by the factory.
Another metric is urotropin bidding amount, which totaled at least 7 batches this year and each batch comes with 495 tons of them. Then we have a total amount of 3,465 tons.
According to the very journal here, though I dunno how accurate the figure is:
Unsurprisingly the ratio of two estimated figure comes very closely together. As I said, it is not a surprise to me that actual production rate is much higher than the previous 1,000-ton estimated, because it was deduced from very conservative estimation.
Tl;dr the actual production rate could be much higher, around 4,000 tons per year. But it was based on a rough chemical balance ratio, welcome to more detailed explanation on how many tons of chemical ingredient are required for HMX production.
The factory bids at least 22 batches of Acetic Anhydride and each batch is either 480 tons or 640 tons based on government auction information.
Here we take a rough estimation by 500t per batch then there will be 11,000 tons Acetic Anhydride auctioned by the factory.
Another metric is urotropin bidding amount, which totaled at least 7 batches this year and each batch comes with 495 tons of them. Then we have a total amount of 3,465 tons.
According to the very journal here, though I dunno how accurate the figure is:
| Acetic Anhydride | urotropin | |
| Estimated bidding amount | 11,000 tons | 3,465 tons |
| Required per ton of HMX production | 2.28 | 1 |
| HMX production rate deduction | 4,824 tons | 3,465 tons |
Unsurprisingly the ratio of two estimated figure comes very closely together. As I said, it is not a surprise to me that actual production rate is much higher than the previous 1,000-ton estimated, because it was deduced from very conservative estimation.
Tl;dr the actual production rate could be much higher, around 4,000 tons per year. But it was based on a rough chemical balance ratio, welcome to more detailed explanation on how many tons of chemical ingredient are required for HMX production.
Minor correction, there were actually 12 batches of urotropin bidding, I missed some biddings under name of No. 805 factory. (which is also Gansu Yinguang Chemical plant but under different name)
But the bidding amount per batch is also smaller than 495 tons. For example, the plant auctioned for 495 tons on Dec. 21st but only 295 tons on Dec. 7th. Here we take a mean value of 395 tons, total weight around 4,740 tons, almost identical with the deduced HMX production rate based on Acetic Anhydride.
Source:
- Status