China Ballistic Missiles and Nuclear Arms Thread

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Taiban

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It's possible that these balloons could also interfere with imaging infrared targeting systems that exist on some missile systems, namely cruise missile types. These systems are passive in nature, making the missiles that carry them harder to detect. They match imagery or 3D models of the target object against a database to positively identify it and make their highly precise end-game attack run. This is all done autonomously. The presence of the balloons could possibly confuse these systems, although that would likely depend on their level of capability.
 

ACuriousPLAFan

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I think it is an over-reaction from Pentagon on correcting past wrong estimation, not necessarily means that 200 warheads per year.

But I heard some rumors four years ago, claiming that China spent two weeks producing one warhead and moving to one warhead per week and ultimately one warhead per day, though don't know how this rumor holds up after 4 years.
One warhead per day? Holy moly.

For comparison, how long does it take for the US and Soviet Union to manufacture one warhead during the Cold War nuclear arms race?
 

ACuriousPLAFan

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average 10,000 warheads in a decade at the peak of cold war. now you can calculate

so 2.70 warheads in one day.

but in today's time. 1 warhead in one day is pretty huge.
Holy moly.

Although with the current geopolitical situation in the Indo-Pacific, the present number of warheads and production rate of warheads is certainly no going to be enough for China.
 

sunnymaxi

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Holy moly.

Although with the current geopolitical situation in the Indo-Pacific, the present number of warheads and production rate of warheads is certainly no going to be enough for China.
agreed.

China's industrial capacity dwarf USSR industrial output. literally no comparison. if China want, they can literally produce 5000 warheads in just few years.

365 warhead in one year means 1095 in just three years. not bad

lets suppose China have 400-500 warheads now. it means by 2025 they will have 1495-1595 warheads. more than enough i would say.
 

Kalec

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41所以一线处室、车间、班组为重点,积极选树质量标杆、模范,开展“质量之星”和“质量示范区”评选,7名同志获评“质量之星”称号,101室重型固体动力组、103室结构与可靠性组等4个班组获评“质量示范区”称号。
Room 101 heavy solid engine design team. And yes, it is for military use. Civilian team is Room 111.
 

antiterror13

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agreed.

China's industrial capacity dwarf USSR industrial output. literally no comparison. if China want, they can literally produce 5000 warheads in just few years.

365 warhead in one year means 1095 in just three years. not bad

lets suppose China have 400-500 warheads now. it means by 2025 they will have 1495-1595 warheads. more than enough i would say.

The only limiting factor I'd say is the WgPu, not China's industrial capacity

I have full confidence that China's industrial capacity can easily produce one warhead per day
 

ACuriousPLAFan

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The only limiting factor I'd say is the WgPu, not China's industrial capacity

I have full confidence that China's industrial capacity can easily produce one warhead per day
I hope the production rate can be jacked up to more than 2, though. Similarly the scale has to be brought up for the missiles, TELs, planes and submarines that would be delivering them.

Speaking of which, in you guys' opinion, based on the best available guesstimates, what is the current warhead production rate for China?
 

antiterror13

Brigadier
I hope the production rate can be jacked up to more than 2, though. Similarly the scale has to be brought up for the missiles, TELs, planes and submarines that would be delivering them.

Speaking of which, in you guys' opinion, based on the best available guesstimates, what is the current warhead production rate for China?

my guess is 100 a year or roughly 2 per week
 
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