Re: Does india really need aircraft carriers
There is no doubt but that Liaoning will commission before Vikramaditya. Liaoning will commission most probably before the end of the year...maybe yet this month. Virkam will be handed over to the Indians in December and if they were smart they would have the Russians already sail it out of the Artic beforehand so they could then take it on down to Cochin early next year. As it is, that is unlikely and it will be early next summer before Virkam reaches Indian waters.
But then the game changes because the aircraft for the first airwing on Virkam will already be in place with the Indian pilots having had lots of hours in them beforehand and with the Virkam and the Mig-29K already qualified. Production aircraft that will imediately begin training on the Vikram. I expect that the Vikram will be operational with a wing of aircraft aboard by early 2014. I do not believe the PLAN will have produced a full airwing of J-15s by 2014, much less have had them fully qualified and training on the CV-16. So I expect the PLAN will be one to two years behind the Indians in that regard...and probably the same as regards the 1st indegenous carrier progress as well.
I suppose that really depends on liaoning's trials included testing the arrestor and landing related systems. J-15 first flew in 2009, and given its inherent similarities to flankers and SAC produced flankers I wouldn't say the idea that they have already made a few landings aboard liaoning to be unreasonable.
I mean we've seen liaoning going to see with arrestor cables onboard multiple times in the past year, they must be there for a reason.
So in that regard, I disagree with your position to a degree, in that if the PLAN have started making landings and pre training familiarization for the first batch of pilots already (either with JL-9H or J-15), there is no reason they could not embark an airwing at a similar timescale to vikram, if not earlier.
Indeed, I think that landing and taking off carriers is the easy part, that can be managed so long as the various systems are working (arrestor cables, meatball, etc) and you have a skilled pilot. It's organizing a fully functional airbase aboard a 300m long space which will be the challenge.
...and, I had not heard that there is a potential delay now for Vikram until fall of next year. If that is the case, then take a full year off what I just said and the Vikram and the Liaoning may have air operational status much closer together in late 2012 to early 2015.
I think it was posted a page or two back. It's quite recent news, I think. Either three or seven of the vikram's boilers malfunctioned pushing handover to october 2013 I think?
We'll need to wait for it to clear up but there as been some sort of serious issue on vikram's trials.