055 DDG Large Destroyer Thread

Status
Not open for further replies.

Iron Man

Major
Registered Member
I dont' think I've ever suggested that the capability of the Chinese shipbuilding industry in building the ships like this was eyebrow raising -- in fact I think a page or so back I even said that such an eventuality would have been expected.
And in the beginning of my reply 2645 I did deliberately lay out that my surprise was towards their intent and scope.
Again, what you are saying or have suggested is not relevant to what subotai said or what I said in response to what he said. You injected yourself into a response which you were not originally a part of and then keep saying "well I have been consistently saying this and that" as if that somehow changes anything that he or I said.

Okay, it appears there has been miscommunication in this point.

If your argument about 055 just being a larger 052D is meant to only mean it in terms of difficulty of construction then I don't have a position on it.
I was only focused on the specific part about 055 being a larger 052D in terms of advancement.
Where did I ever say that it was only a matter of difficulty of construction? The "construction" is not difficult, AND the "design" is not difficult, because it is not a large "advancement" compared to the 052D.

I'm asking if that was part of his assertion, exactly because his original point didn't make any point about evolutionary or revolutionary advancement of 055 vs 052D, and to demonstrate you're the one who brought it up first.

He said that advancements in computing/design could have been an aspect in allowing the shipbuilding industry to turn out 055s like we are seeing so quickly and so early, and I don't think you've made an argument to suggest such a possibility is unlikely.
So I'm saying that bringing in the evolutionary or revolutionary nature of 055 is not relevant to his suggestion.


If you wanted to suggest that advancements in computing/design didn't have a role in 055's production as we see it, then we need to enter a thought experiment where the Navy hypothetically did not have access to the advancements in computing/design from the last few years or half decade or so, and were still required to design 055 to the same standards as reality, and then consider whether they would have been as willing to green light the same rapid and early production in their "without last few years of advancements in computing/design-universe" as our reality where these advancements did occur.
in other words, if the goal is to prove that the advancements in computing/design didn't have a role in 055's production, we need to compare two similar (preferably identical) projects with similar parameters where the only difference is that one has access to those advancements and where another does not, with the result being whether the one without those advancements would have built 055s at the same rate and early state as the one with advancements.
Now you're resorting to straw man attacks? You should know by now that I am not even remotely susceptible to straw man arguments. Please link and quote ANYWHERE where I said that advancements in computing/design didn't have a role in 055's production. In fact in my initial response to subotai I said this: "Well the advancements in modeling and simulation certainly help no doubt." I also said this: "Yes, improvements in technology have allowed the Chinese shipbuilding industry to more confidently leap into fast rate production of the 055." But I also said this: "whatever technology allowed the 052D to be produced in large numbers will allow the 055 to be produced in large numbers, no need for any "fruition" of new technologies." Clearly the implication is that whatever advancements help the 052D help the 055, and vice versa. Unless you are somehow trying to claim that there has been some kind of breakthrough technology that occurred in between the time the 052D came out and now. Which would that be, may I ask?
 

Blitzo

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Registered Member
Again, what you are saying or have suggested is not relevant to what subotai said or what I said in response to what he said. You injected yourself into a response which you were not originally a part of and then keep saying "well I have been consistently saying this and that" as if that somehow changes anything that he or I said.

Have you read his reply about what his post meant? I think you would find that my interpretation of his post is quite accurate to his meaning.

https://www.sinodefenceforum.com/type-055-ddg-large-destroyer-thread.t6480/page-268#post-438203


Where did I ever say that it was only a matter of difficulty of construction? The "construction" is not difficult, AND the "design" is not difficult, because it is not a large "advancement" compared to the 052D.

Okay, so you are using the word advancement in terms of design, construction, and perhaps subsystems, as discussed in previous posts? I am using the word advancement in terms of capability.

I can agree that 055 may not be a significant advancement in terms of new subsystems and its design and construction are not challenges or difficult either, however despite that I maintain my belief that it doesn't preclude the possibility that 055 may still be a signficant advancement in terms of capability due to the potential addition of certain subsystems mentioned in previous posts (datalinks, combat system, software, etc).

If there is no disagreement with the above paragraph, then I think we can consider this matter settled.


Now you're resorting to straw man attacks? You should know by now that I am not even remotely susceptible to straw man arguments. Please link and quote ANYWHERE where I said that advancements in computing/design didn't have a role in 055's production. In fact in my initial response to subotai I said this: "Well the advancements in modeling and simulation certainly help no doubt." I also said this: "Yes, improvements in technology have allowed the Chinese shipbuilding industry to more confidently leap into fast rate production of the 055." But I also said this: "whatever technology allowed the 052D to be produced in large numbers will allow the 055 to be produced in large numbers, no need for any "fruition" of new technologies." Clearly the implication is that whatever advancements help the 052D help the 055, and vice versa. Unless you are somehow trying to claim that there has been some kind of breakthrough technology that occurred in between the time the 052D came out and now. Which would that be, may I ask?

Sigh, I'm not resorting to straw man attacks, I was asking you if that was your position and trying to explore it if it was your position. If it isn't your position then obviously I'm not going to say that it was. (I don't do straw man attacks -- if you feel like I am, hold your fire and just tell me that what I wrote is not representative of your position, meaning either I misinterpreted your position or there were some other miscommunication.)

Okay, with that out of the way I'll try to lay out how I understand your argument now, in a way that's easy for both of us to see:
Premise 1: 055 and 052D both had access to similar advancements in computing/modelling
Premise 2: 055 and 052D were both produced in a similar pace/manner
Conclusion: therefore, production of 055 and 052D likely both benefitted from similar advancements in computing/modelling

[Am I close? If I'm wrong please feel free to correct me]

I agree with Premise 1 generally speaking, and I agree with the overall Conclusion.
But I disagree with Premise 2 because the pace and manner of the construction of 055 today vs 052D back then are quite different, not only in terms of sites of simultaneous initiation of construction of a new class of warship, but also the nature of the new class of warship where 055 is a clean sheet hull design using common subsystems from an existing design in a new configuration in a new hull, whereas the 052D is a iterative design based of an existing hull design that's been in operation for many years using some common systems that had been present on its predecessors and some new subsystems that are introduced in it in a similar configuration to its predecessor.

What this means for the idea that 055 may be evidence of "fruition" and advancements that subotai originally mentioned, is that yes the 052D probably did have access to those advancements, and its production likely benefitted from those advancements (and neither subotai or I have suggested that 052D did not benefit from those advancements)...
... however, the production pace/manner of the 052D at the time and the nature of the 052D class as an iterative design of an existing and proven hull design, meant even if it benefitted from those advancements, the production of the 052D did not demonstrate the advancements/fruition in as obvious or high profile a way as production of 055 does.

So my counter position, is that yes I agree the production of 055 and 052D likely both benefitted from similar advancements in computing/modelling etc, however out of these two, the pace and manner of 055 production and its design in past context is the far more compelling evidence that these advancements have occurred, compared to the pace and manner of 052D production and its design in past context.
 
Last edited:

Iron Man

Major
Registered Member
Have you read his reply about what his post meant? I think you would find that my interpretation of his post is quite accurate to his meaning.

https://www.sinodefenceforum.com/type-055-ddg-large-destroyer-thread.t6480/page-268#post-438203
What he said is just basically that new technologies have enabled PLAN shipbuilding (including the 055) in ways that it didn't before the advent of those technologies. This isn't exactly a shocker, nor does it conflict with what I said, which is that all these new technologies aren't so relevant to the 055's rapid output either in terms of shipbuilding capability or the PLAN's intent and scope. After 3-4 pages of back and forth, do you disagree with this, because you did want to keep talking about eyebrow-raising things.

Okay, so you are using the word advancement in terms of design, construction, and perhaps subsystems, as discussed in previous posts? I am using the word advancement in terms of capability.

I can agree that 055 may not be a significant advancement in terms of new subsystems and its design and construction are not challenges or difficult either, however despite that I maintain my belief that it doesn't preclude the possibility that 055 may still be a signficant advancement in terms of capability due to the potential addition of certain subsystems mentioned in previous posts (datalinks, combat system, software, etc).

If there is no disagreement with the above paragraph, then I think we can consider this matter settled.
If you mean advancement in capability in terms of warfighting capability, then who would disagree with the assertion that a 12-13,000 ton ship with 128 VL cells is more "capable" than a 7,100-7,500 ton ship with 64 VL cells? If you mean that if the 055 were somehow "shrunk" down to the size of the 052D it would still represent greater "capability" because of whatever unsubstantiated "advancements", then you obviously have nothing to back this up with except hope and expectation.

Sigh, I'm not resorting to straw man attacks, I was asking you if that was your position and trying to explore it if it was your position. If it isn't your position then obviously I'm not going to say that it was. (I don't do straw man attacks -- if you feel like I am, hold your fire and just tell me that I wrote is not representative of your position, meaning either I misinterpreted your position or there were some other miscommunication.)

Okay, with that out of the way I'll try to lay out how I understand your argument now, in a way that's easy for both of us to see:
Premise 1: 055 and 052D both had access to similar advancements in computing/modelling
Premise 2: 055 and 052D were both produced in a similar pace/manner
Conclusion: therefore, production of 055 and 052D likely both benefitted from similar advancements in computing/modelling

[Am I close? If I'm wrong please feel free to correct me]

I agree with Premise 1 generally speaking, and I agree with the overall Conclusion.
But I disagree with Premise 2 because the pace and manner of the construction of 055 today vs 052D back then are quite different, not only in terms of sites of simultaneous initiation of construction of a new class of warship, but also the nature of the new class of warship where 055 is a clean sheet hull design using common subsystems from an existing design in a new configuration in a new hull, whereas the 052D is a iterative design based of an existing hull design that's been in operation for many years using some common systems that had been present on its predecessors and some new subsystems that are introduced in it in a similar configuration to its predecessor.

What this means for the idea that 055 may be evidence of "fruition" and advancements that subotai originally mentioned, is that yes the 052D probably did have access to those advancements, and its production likely benefitted from those advancements (and neither subotai or I have suggested that 052D did not benefit from those advancements)...
... however, the production pace/manner of the 052D at the time and the nature of the 052D class as an iterative design of an existing and proven hull design, meant even if it benefitted from those advancements, the production of the 052D did not demonstrate the advancements/fruition in as obvious or high profile a way as production of 055 does.

So my counter position, is that yes I agree the production of 055 and 052D likely both benefitted from similar advancements in computing/modelling etc, however out of these two, the pace and manner of 055 production and its design in past context is the far more compelling evidence that these advancements have occurred, compared to the pace and manner of 052D production and its design in past context.
Ok, I know you say you're not using straw man attacks, but here is yet ANOTHER one: where exactly did I claim that both 052D and 055 were produced in a similar pace/manner????? Where, seriously? I want to know where you came up with this premise in anything that I said or implied, in this thread or any thread. Your "premise 2" represents an ENTIRELY new argument that you just now introduced completely out of the blue and then proceed to try and debunk it over the next 3 paragraphs. I think I've already said that I am also surprised at the speed of the 055's rollout, as I am sure everyone watching the PLAN is as well. But again, this represents surprise at the PLAN's intent, not its ability to design and produce. This has been my point this entire time, and which you have been dancing around for the last several pages.
 

Blitzo

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Registered Member
What he said is just basically that new technologies have enabled PLAN shipbuilding (including the 055) in ways that it didn't before the advent of those technologies. This isn't exactly a shocker, nor does it conflict with what I said, which is that all these new technologies aren't so relevant to the 055's rapid output either in terms of shipbuilding capability or the PLAN's intent and scope. After 3-4 pages of back and forth, do you disagree with this, because you did want to keep talking about eyebrow-raising things.

The eyebrow raising thing is about the nature of 055's production rate/pace/manner, and that I interpreted your statements to suggest the nature of 055's production is similar to 052Ds.

I go into more detail about this part in the last part of the post.


If you mean advancement in capability in terms of warfighting capability, then who would disagree with the assertion that a 12-13,000 ton ship with 128 VL cells is more "capable" than a 7,100-7,500 ton ship with 64 VL cells? If you mean that if the 055 were somehow "shrunk" down to the size of the 052D it would still represent greater "capability" because of whatever unsubstantiated "advancements", then you obviously have nothing to back this up with except hope and expectation.

Yes, advancement in capability as warfighting, let's go with that.

And yes, the underlined part is what I mean.

And yes, as I wrote in a previous post when I used a similar argument -- of course this is all speculation. I'm not saying that 055 will necessarily have those advancements in datalink, software, combat system etc.
The reason I've been harping on about those specific advancements is in response to your post #2646 where you said:
"IF they are present on the 055, yes. More advanced software for what? Controlling the same exact missiles, guns, CIWS, countermeasures, and radar? New datalinks? You know that datalinking isn't an individual ship capability, right? Something like a Chinese Link 16 is a fleet-wide capability, and something the 052D would be expected to have as well. More consoles is meh. Flag bridge is meh. Bigger CIC is meh. It's all just more, not necessarily more advanced."

... which, in the context of the discussion made it sound to me like you believed that advancements in datalinks, software, consoles, flag bridge, CIC etc would only produce "meh" advancements in capability/warfighting. This entire subset of the discussion has been me trying to make the case that advancements in those areas could definitely provide very consequential advancements in warfighting.

What I am not arguing, is that 055 will definitely have those advancements.

Of course, now that the previous part of the discussion has been settled I understand that you probably meant "meh" as in terms of advancements of design/construction, in which case I would mostly agree that those advancements I listed are less important in terms of the design/construction of 055 (or indeed any other ship in its situation).
(The reason why this discussion has been a bit arduous is because it's been difficult to define what we meant by "advancements of capability" in terms of design/construction and vs warfighting. The only part that has been well defined is advancements of computing/modelling)


Ok, I know you say you're not using straw man attacks, but here is yet ANOTHER one: where exactly did I claim that both 052D and 055 were produced in a similar pace/manner????? Where, seriously? I want to know where you came up with this premise in anything that I said or implied, in this thread or any thread. Your "premise 2" represents an ENTIRELY new argument that you just now introduced completely out of the blue and then proceed to try and debunk it over the next 3 paragraphs. I think I've already said that I am also surprised at the speed of the 055's rollout, as I am sure everyone watching the PLAN is as well. But again, this represents surprise at the PLAN's intent, not its ability to design and produce. This has been my point this entire time, and which you have been dancing around for the last several pages.

This part is what makes me believe that, it's from your last post where you quote yourself and I'm not sure which original post it was:
"whatever technology allowed the 052D to be produced in large numbers will allow the 055 to be produced in large numbers, no need for any "fruition" of new technologies."

This sentence conveys to me a sense that you believe the "large numbers" that 052D was produced in and the "large numbers" that 055 is being produced in are equal or similar, and I'm saying that they are not equal or similar -- or at the very least that merely saying 055 and 052D are both "produced in large numbers" is insufficiently representative of the details that are important for the discussion and the original statement that subotai made.

But if I'm misinterpreting your statement then I'm of course open to clarification.
 

Lethe

Captain
Not much point launching e.g. three destroyers per year if the resources are only available to fit-out, trial and induct two per year. Just generates an increasing backlog of hulls that are rusting away as they wait to clear the choke point.

So either this production spurt is a temporary one (and if so, why?) or China must be increasing their ability to fit-out, trial, induct new ships across the board.

There are lots of possible reasons for a short-term increase in production, including purely industrial ones. One possibility that is perhaps less obvious is if there is going to be a significant gap between 054A and follow-on frigate. An excess of destroyer hulls would allow PLAN to sustain the present induction rate of four blue-water ships per year over the period.
 
Last edited:

Blitzo

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Registered Member
I now read how you went on when I slept :) and I'm amazed, as it appears to be still based on just one line from Chinese Internet ...
but why not

... no, it's based on pictures, where we can see that at least three 055s are in various stages of construction before the first 055 has even been launched.
What we are talking about right now is based on the initial pace of production as it already is, probably with a degree of acceptance that the initial pace of production will likely be sustained.

The post by fzgfzy just to add further weight to the case that there will likely be a sustained high pace of production. And yes, his one line is very much important. It would be wise of you to pay attention to lines from certain people on the Chinese BBS.
 
... no, it's based on pictures, where we can see that at least three 055s are in various stages of construction before the first 055 has even been launched.
What we are talking about right now is based on the initial pace of production as it already is, probably with a degree of acceptance that the initial pace of production will likely be sustained.

The post by fzgfzy just to add further weight to the case that there will likely be a sustained high pace of production. And yes, his one line is very much important. It would be wise of you to pay attention to lines from certain people on the Chinese BBS.
hope you know I didn't mean to naysay anything, actually the discussion is interesting ('naval debate')

from what I figured, the info is
  • the translation
    Key sentence:

    大猫只能告诉你们,我当年说的是首批8条55,现在可以说,但是那是当年的数字了。

    "Big Cat (fzgfzy's "nickname" because of his avatar) can only tell you so much: What I have said past year about the first batch of 055s being 8 hulls, I can tell you know, that was merely the number of the past."
  • its interpretation as
    Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
    more than 8 hulls of the initial batch are on order and will probably appear soon.
    ...
  • pictures showing several (sorry I don't recall exactly how many) hulls in the pipeline


am I correct?
 

Blitzo

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Registered Member
hope you know I didn't mean to naysay anything, actually the discussion is interesting ('naval debate')

from what I figured, the info is
  • the translation
  • its interpretation as
  • pictures showing several (sorry I don't recall how many) hulls in the pipeline


am I correct?

The interpretation is correct, but the pictures are sort of incidental to the interpretation of fzgfzy's statement.

And the discussion is not directly related to fzgfzy's statement, because it's been a bit of a consensus by most people that the first batch would be relatively large in size (4-8), and whether it's more than 8 or not doesn't really change the content of the debate.
 
The interpretation is correct, but the pictures are sort of incidental to the interpretation of fzgfzy's statement.

And the discussion is not directly related to fzgfzy's statement, because it's been a bit of a consensus by most people that the first batch would be relatively large in size (4-8), and whether it's more than 8 or not doesn't really change the content of the debate.
good


as for the interpretation, I noticed in Twitter
A credible source suggests the number of first batch 055 is more than 8.
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

which I'm guessing originated from that Big Shrimp :) I quoted in my preceding post
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top