Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis

[Sleepyjam]

I just read on NetEast news that PLA agreed to pull back by 2.5km in Galwan Valley. Could be a temporary retreat due to Taiwan crisis.

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It says India will also retreat not just China.

Honestly I have a bad feeling about this. If Beijing is willing to go as far as making temporary concessions to India over Galwan Valley (where 4 Chinese soldiers died), it is clear Xi is trying to focus all available resources on Taiwan. In other words, he means business. The Galwan concession could be an attempt to bribe India to not take advantage of a US-China shootout over Taiwan. Yes, India remains an adversary, but since 2018, Washington has been far more aggressive than New Delhi.

It’s more like a mutual concession.

 

[BoraTas]

Pretty sure US has her entire route sanitized , leaving no scope for such attempts. They know its a fake threat. The trip will continue.

The bombs can be placed just before the aircraft starts descending

 

[xypher]

Absolutely bad idea.

This would only make China the villian in the eyes across the world. Remember that TSMC is a very important part in the global semiconductor chain. A lot of industries across the world (China included) depend on TSMC being functional to run their factories. How do you think the world would respond to such specific threats coming from China?

Which world? You are again conflating things. Primary consumers of advanced chips are China, the West, and SK + Japan. The last three are already painting China as villain. People should really stop caring what white people and their house dogs think.

 

[OppositeDay]

I just read on NetEast news that PLA agreed to pull back by 2.5km in Galwan Valley. Could be a temporary retreat due to Taiwan crisis.

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Seriously are people completely incapable of spotting fake news? The "article" was written by a "self-media" account who mostly put out dirty jokes!

 

[ironborn]

US already has one super-carrier (USS Ronald Reagan in the Philippines) and two LHAs (USS America and USS Tripoli) in place right outside of First Island Chain. USS Abraham Lincoln and USS ESSEX LHA are currently enjoying RIMPAC near Hawaii, but could be mobilized within minutes of notice.

Whatever navy assets US has won’t get near China’s coast to be any use due to AshM threats.
The day the Americans willing to suffer 5 digit causalities for someone else is long gone.

The only reason I am not quite convinced about armed reunification is I don’t see any PLAN assets being deployed in large numbers.
I would have at least seal off the Taiwan strait north and south with ships for amphibious operation, since submarines can’t really operate in the Taiwan Strait due to shallow depth.
Regards to those twitter videos from absolute no body or self professed OSINT cunts, almost none of them can be confirmed with date stamps or actual eye witness. People finds old videos and post them, happens all the time.
like I said if the war were to happen, we would have seen all the PLANs amphibious asset clustered around some jump off points, I don’t think there are any evidence of that yet.

 

[Overbom]

Hu on it

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1554335449539174400

 

[horse]

Hu on it

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1554335449539174400

That is a real possibility.

They want her to come. That would open the door to actions that should enhance the strategic position, essentially moving up the timetable, if there is one.

 

[obj 705A]

This whole situation reminds me of two sun tzu quotes

Appear weak when you are strong, and strong when you are weak” - Sun Tzu,

It is the rule in war, if ten times the enemy's strength, surround them; if five times, attack them; if double, be able to divide them; if equal, engage them; if fewer, defend against them; if weaker, be able to avoid them. - Sun Tzu

I feel the US crossing china red line and goading china to make the first attack cause they feel they have the advantage and can win, especially since they can hit China mainland easier than vice versa. Is this a case of the US feeling like china is weaker or is China's pretending to be weaker ?

China should not take the bait unless they are sure they can evenly match the US in that region. I hope china does not get goaded if they aren't ready. Otherwise the US has succeeded in choosing the time and place for the battle and and forcing china to respond. Seems like a lot of people on this forum feels if china doesn't respond then Xi will be gone. Doesn't that just make it easier for the US to dictate the time and place of the battle if they can easily goad china into launching something they are not ready for?

I feel china will not shoot first but will do do flyover of Taiwan or something forceful but fall short of a hot war.

You are just confusing yourself at this point with all these different quotes and speculations.
You are creating a puzzle out of nothing.

When sovereignty is breached you defend it, that is all there is to it.

 

[ChongqingHotPot92]

1000kg laser-guided bomb on a PLAAF truck

 

[9dashline]

need to escalate further. all Taiwanese businesses deemed a threat to national security, broadly interpreted, should be banned.

Nationalize/Confiscate Foxxconn

That is a real possibility.

They want her to come. That would open the door to actions that should enhance the strategic position, essentially moving up the timetable, if there is one.

I better not be let down, it matters not if China outcomes results in win or loss, what matters is China fight the war and fight 100% and fight now and fight the good fight.... in a billion years from now the sun will engulf the earth... what matters is to not kneel down before the Anericans again, even if DF41 has to come out then so be it.... im ready