Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis

[ZeEa5KPul]

Besides, did you want it to be a public 2% or they can do it unannounced like you said before? If they don't announce it, how do you know if it has or hasn't been done?

At this point, either would be an improvement.

And your post reads like foolishly arrogant person demanding that his will be recognized over the analyses of experts that have classified knowledge that he doesn't and who have a resounding track record of success which he doesn't. Usually, when one finds himself in this situation, it is due to his simple mind misrecognizing itself as a genius.

Your post still reads like a fervent believer completely unwilling to question the infallibility of his god. My intelligence isn't the issue here, I'm perfectly willing to admit the CPC is teeming with people far smarter than I am. The issue is your blind faith. Is there anything the CPC could ever do that might once make you think "hmm... maybe it would have been better if they did x instead of y."

They're not mutually exclusive but you are by no means equipped with the knowledge to make that determination.

Fine. Who is? Or does no one on Earth get to question your god?

There is a CCP, and they know more classified information than we do and they have a track record of success.

Sure, the CPC knows better than we do. But knowing and having the political will to act on that knowledge are two different things.

You say there is "a CCP", which one? Xi's CCP is very different from Hu's CCP. Before Xi came along and cleaned out the rot and corruption, would you have held the prior CCP in the esteem you hold the present one?

The only justification for the wholly unquestioning obedience you espouse is if China is in severe danger. If China were in that kind of danger, it should spend like it.

 

[ChongqingHotPot92]

Honestly I have a bad feeling about this. If Beijing is willing to go as far as making temporary concessions to India over Galwan Valley (where 4 Chinese soldiers died), it is clear Xi is trying to focus all available resources on Taiwan. In other words, he means business. The Galwan concession could be an attempt to bribe India to not take advantage of a US-China shootout over Taiwan. Yes, India remains an adversary, but since 2018, Washington has been far more aggressive than New Delhi.

 

[Temstar]

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I'm not sure what kind of signal is this but pretty sure it's intended for Nancy

 

[ironborn]

Honestly I have a bad feeling about this. If Beijing is willing to go as far as making temporary concessions to India over Galwan Valley (where 4 Chinese soldiers died), it is clear Xi is trying to focus all available resources on Taiwan. In other words, he means business. The Galwan concession could be an attempt to bribe India to not take advantage of a US-China shootout over Taiwan. Yes, India remains an adversary, but since 2018, Washington has been far more aggressive than New Delhi.

Has US military raise the DEFCON level yet? Has US military start the general mobilization yet? Nothing is heard. Unless Americans want start the war with a nuclear strike, it's not ready to fight a war with China over Taiwan, not any time soon. US war plan calls for 600,000 troops and 200 ships for war in Korea if comes to that, and that's in 6 month time frame to get all that into theater, how long would take them to get enough troops and equipment to fight China.
Sanctions will come now or later, short term pain is worth the long term gain if Xi decides the time has come. Since he has majority of the country behind him.
Someone will say China's economy will be hit hard with sanctions coming from US and its vassals, hell, the sanctions are coming day by day with or without hostility anyway.
If US does decide to go hot with China over Taiwan, China may or may not win, but all is assured that after the war, US won't be able to retain current position in the global stage it has now.

 

[FriedButter]

Anyone seen this video before? Can’t say if it’s new or not.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1554351749003345920

 

[Rettam Stacf]

View attachment 94660
At least one other RORO ferry normally based in Bohai has sailed south. 35k ton 渤海钻珠号 left Tianjin on 26/07 and as of yesterday is also headed for Xiamen.

If PLA is planning to use these 40K ton class RORO ferries, I can only think of 2 places with docking facilities to accommodate them - main Taiwan Island and Penghu Island.

 

[Reclaimer]

Anyone seen this video before? Can’t say if it’s new or not.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1554351749003345920

Well this is weird and unsafe for the civilians...

 

[ChongqingHotPot92]

Has US military raise the DEFCON level yet? Has US military start the general mobilization yet? Nothing is heard. Unless Americans want start the war with a nuclear strike, it's not ready to fight a war with China over Taiwan, not any time soon. US war plan calls for 600,000 troops and 200 ships for war in Korea if comes to that, and that's in 6 month time frame to get all that into theater, how long would take them to get enough troops and equipment to fight China.
Sanctions will come now or later, short term pain is worth the long term gain if Xi decides the time has come. Since he has majority of the country behind him.
Someone will say China's economy will be hit hard with sanctions coming from US and its vassals, hell, the sanctions are coming day by day with or without hostility anyway.
If US does decide to go hot with China over Taiwan, China may or may not win, but all is assured that after the war, US won't be able to retain current position in the global stage it has now.

US already has one super-carrier (USS Ronald Reagan in the Philippines) and two LHAs (USS America and USS Tripoli) in place right outside of First Island Chain. USS Abraham Lincoln and USS ESSEX LHA are currently enjoying RIMPAC near Hawaii, but could be mobilized within minutes of notice.

 

[sequ]

There is a former Dutch officer who did research on conflicts and he came up with a model that calculated and predicted that WWIII could begin somewhere around 2020, +/- 2 years. According to him the WW would go on for 16 years if I remember correctly, and could completely change the powerbalance in the world.

I thought I would remind you guys because of all the things currently happening in the world...

Edit: I found a vid unfortunately in Dutch only

 

[Yommie]

The US started the war in Ukraine by expanding NATO into Ukraine. The US starts the war in Taiwan by Pelosi visit. The US is not a nation of peace. The US is a nation of war.