With Putin and his team in charge the west was always going to isolate and marginalise Russia, why not take the initiative as Putin has done and secure russias western borders in perpetuity?Interesting podcast about the War [From a Russian expert in the US who is from Ukraine. He is not biased]
Quick summary
They essentially underestimated Ukrainian resolve and assumed the west won't overreact. But they miscalculated.
- Russia wanted to quick and dirty war (Crimea 2.0). Secure the south while avoiding cities and create a land bridge to Crimea while rushing to Kyiv to cause the govt. to collapse.
- While doing that also push a small units forward to cause the Ukrainian military to collapse.
- A reason why Russian propaganda machine is MIA is because this war is they wanted to keep this war from their public. This explains why they never use the term "invasion" or "war" and are instead calling this "special operation." This war was very unpopular in Russia
This explains why we're not seeing RuAF or the Russian artillery and why we are seeing this mess of the Russian small groups going into cities and suburbs and driving around without purpose AND getting picked off.
Going forward, I think the Russian will retool and reassembly and re-adjust. I think they will bring the big guns because at this point Putin essentially bluffed charged to scare his opponent--Ukraine--but instead got punched in the face. The west are bringing the Russian economy to its knees and the country is getting isolated from Europe. He essentially has nothing else to lose.