So, can most of us, here, agree, that, despite justified grievances, this invasion was premature, executed fairly poorly, and possibly unnecessary?
Or, not!
Did you really expect Kiev to fall in 5 days?
What should the measure of success be?
I think reaching Kiev outskirts in 5 days is a success. I think forces in South doing exceptionally well. I think forces in North could have done slightly better but the front is more than 1,000km so even that is fair play. I think Russian AF is not still 100% in the game and RuAF should have done a better job. Do not forget literally whole West is supporting Ukraine with everything they have short of sending soldiers. What did you expect?
In my book, if Kiev falls less a than 3 weeks and black sea coast is captured in same time, it is a huge success for Russia.
But all these are tactical.
Strategically speaking, Ukraine is big gain for Russia and from this point on I think Putin will annex the whole thing to Russia.
USA played perfectly too. Finally they isolated Russia completely. I mean even Iran and North Korea face much less sanctions
At least their football teams can participate international events.
Anyhow, winners will be USA and China. Losers will be Ukraine and EU. Russia will be a loser, too if this goes more than couple months. However less than a month, Russia wins a whole country.