If Russia does not negotiate to lift at least some of the sanctions, then the campaign would still be a failure - Crimea was already pretty much Russian anyway, while neutral status is too vague and hard to enforce IMO. What will be the mechanics that could stop Ukraine from reneging on that, especially considering how anti-Russian the whole country became? Another war?
Depending on what is (if) agreed we will know who won and who lost. People can spin spin all they want, but the moment the text is released, we will know.Just willing to be neutral at this point is so far from the Russian position there's literally no point in talking. What about the territory they lost?
At the very least Ukraine will be giving up Crimea and very likely the eastern regions. I'm sure that's what the Americans or Germans will be saying. Remember that German Naval officer that the Indians leaked last month? He knew what was up.
The problem is, I don't think that's enough for the Russians.
One thing to consider is that Russia has incurred massive financial costs for this invasion. Will the agreement contain something worth all of these losses?...