Well, seems like US found out which card it has to play against Russia. Now they'll be doing the same to China.
Ukrainian War Developments
- Thread starter james smith esq
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Hendrik_2000
Lieutenant General
Good now China can buy Shell share on the cheap
russia needs to prepare to deploy medium and also intermediate range weapons to counter US withdrawal from INF treaty.
Some perspective to consider. For every Ukrainian Bayraktar micro munition strike on Russian troops, the Russians are destroying entire military bases, and wiping out entire units of the Ukrainian military.
An entire Ukrainian military unit in the Sumy region has been destroyed. Let's be real, the Ukrainians are suffering even worse than the Russians.
The Ukrainians and their fans celebrated small tactical victories over isolated Russian convoys. While Russia was wiping out entire Ukrainian bases, and entire units of the Ukrainian military. Those were strategic victories. In any war, strategic development matters more than tactical ones. The Russians can continue raining serious hell on the Ukrainians, while the Ukrainians can only throw Bayraktars, NLAWs, and RPGs at the Russians. The tide of the war is seriously not on Ukraine's side.
Russia fully deserves criticism for not providing sufficient air cover and ISR for its ground forces. Some of their tactical defeats were humiliating. But on the strategic scale, they are steadily dismantling the Ukrainian military, and are advancing further.
But on the Ukrainian side, where was the Ghost of Kiev when Russian warplanes were dropping FAB-500s on Ukrainian soldiers? Did he just decided to disappear on Day 3 of the war? The Ukrainians and the Western media are happy to control the narrative. But the facts on the ground are showing a different reality.
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Is the fake blood Lancome or Dior?
It's possible they're moving like this because this sector is secure. One of the advantages you get as you secure your supply route is the ability to rush concentrations of forces/logistics like this. The North is no longer a narrow corridor like it was on Day 1. Also, this large convoy can be reasonably assumed to be protected by air cover and gunships overhead.
The Russians don't look worried here. But if I was Ukrainian, this picture would worry me... a lot.
being able to deploy these in ukraine abs belarus would be key to maintaining credible deterrence after the US withdraw from the INF treaty
US ability to deploy medium and intermediate range missiles from Ukraine would makes all russian land based deterrence no longer credible.
I expect russia would fight to the death abs go right up to nuclear release to achieve its goals here.
compare to what is at stake for russia sanctions and popular opinion are trivial concerns.
The issue for China is if the conflict doesn't go according to Moscow's plans and results in the severe weakening of Putin, it might make Russia susceptible to NATO and western friendly fractions within Moscow taking over. I suspect that if this conflict gets drawn out, China will start offering more and more behind the scenes support to Moscow to ensure the stability of Russia itself.
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