Ukrainian War Developments

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Reclaimer

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I wonder if the Russians want Kiev solely to capture or force the president to negotiate. If neither happens it would be incredibly foolish to engage in prolonged urban warfare in such a huge city.
 

Aegis21

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be

be patient guys.

Ukraine is the second largest country in Europe, it'll take time to conquer. assume the Ukrainians are as bad as the French, and Putin's operation is as successful as the blitz, then one month is a reasonable time. Paris fell 34 days after the start of the blitz.
Yeah, Russia has a strong advance but the longer it stretches, the more demanding it will be on the economy.
 

Chilled_k6

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tokenanalyst

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Exactly. China is learning valuable lessons from the Russian frustrations in Ukraine. It is good that China is learning them now through Russia, and not directly. Indeed, Russia should've learned this from the US experience in Vietnam and the reversal of that in Desert Storm.

Those lessons are:

1. control the media and if not, make sure the media reports little to nothing at all. In Vietnam, it was very demoralizing to see US troops on tape being captured by Viet Cong or North Vietnamese soldiers and it made them ashamed to see war crimes committed by their troops. In Desert Storm they learned to silence opposition media and amplify their own.

2. don't hold back at the start. negotiations are for before the war or after the war, not during.

3. hitting infrastructure is key.

These critical Russian mistakes might have cost them alot more than the direct value of their military losses.
The problem how we know that Russia make a mistake? is weird that the Russians only send ~50,000 troops to invade such a big country like Ukraine, i was expecting something of much bigger scale and way more destruction, i had the gut feeling they are creating this chaos to make the civilian population to flee and to know what they are going to fight in Ukraine then make a much larger incursion. I have the feeling that the situation for Ukraine is going become much much worse.
 
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