You do not need much armor to fight what is mostly irregulars with a tiny amount of regular troops. Those are to be used against the bulk of their army in the East and South. They might send the BMPT Terminator into the cities.The Russian heavy armor still appears to be have not reached Kiev proper. Why?
The whole thing is a ruse so the Ukrainian Army in the East will get into the open ground to reinforce Kiev.The Ukrainians are still doing better than I would have thought. I legitimately thought the Russians would have stormed Kiev yesterday. Maybe not taken it, but had occupied important pieces of it.
Zelensky is such an idiot he already ordered them back to Kiev.
Had he not the campaign would take longer. The Russians already planned for that contingency which is why we saw the TOS Burantino and BM-30 Smerch moving a couple hours back. It is going to be a massacre.
No way. The Ukrainians have like zero chance once their main army is destroyed which, since they are idiots, should happen over the next 24h/48h.Despite all that, the Russians are still winning. I give them a 95% chance of doing so. Each day the Russians take longer, the percentage ticks down, IMO, a little less likely to win. Like *A* percent per day.
If the US does that, and it goes bad for Russia, I think China might enter the conflict in a repeat of Korea.Former NATO supreme commander believes a no-fly or safe zone in Ukraine is being considered by the US
China can't allow Russia to fall to other side and get US troops on Siberia near Beijing.
This is on purpose. They are moving slowly in that axis to see if the Ukrainian armed forces retreat from the cities.after 3 days the Crimea and Donetsk armies have not managed to link up
See above.it’s only 15km and Russia cannot secure that corridor along the Sea of Azov and have land bridge to Crimea like they wanted
The Ukrainian Army has long range artillery so they would need to pull back to a line at least 80 km distance if not more.If the Russians believed in such brotherly love then don't start full scale invasion in the first place. Defend "brothers" in Donbass but don't take the friggin capital, or attempt to.
And this wouldn't take care of them squeezing Russian ethnic citizens at Mariupol and Odessa.
The United States went into South Korea and never left. The Soviet Union took Manchuria and North Korea. They gave most of it back to China and their troops left North Korea. "Russians never leave" according to the US. Which is still in South Korea, Japan, Germany, etc.
Yes, I see a massive rebranding and rebadging industry in the future for China. Lol.Yeah, Putin should've made an emergency purchase in preparation. Hell, they can slap "made in Russia" on it if their pride demand it, China won't mind (in fact China might prefer it that way....)
It was a gamble and it failed. Don't worry, there are plenty of EU assets in Russia they can confiscate.Russia dumped the dollar from the Central Bank reserves, and then mostly replaced that with a big increase of Euro assets lol.
He was foolish enough that he trusted the EU. Time to pay for this now
Oh dear. Putin will have to pay peanuts for both salaries and weapons purchases since all of them are made in Russia."In addition to expulsion from SWIFT, Biden is now considering sanctions on Russia’s Central Bank (50% assets in US$ & Euro), which would likely cause the ruble to crash. Perhaps the Biden WH is coming around to adopting the hard-hitting sanctions it should have imposed days ago."
Russia will be able to massively expand their army for peanuts.
At the same time Russian oligarchs can no longer suck money from the Russian economy and put it in accounts in the West.
Western paid shills and agents in Russia can no longer be easily paid by the CIA and NED.
Thanks NATO!
Notice how Russia is neither invading Finland nor Kazkhstan or Belarus.What "toys" did Ukraine steal from Russia to justify invasion?
The irony is that Russia's invasion of Ukraine actually validates Ukraine's security concerns and desire to join NATO for protection.
They don't want a hostile regime on their border. A regime which was deeply anti-Russian and tried to erase the Russian legacy in Ukraine by engaging in what the US would call genocide if it was anywhere else. Both cultural and actual genocide. Mostly cultural.
Oh I would be concerned allright. Their plan is to make China poor gradually. This is a many decades long plan.China doesn't have to fear anything from these capitalists. So long as China is economically powerful, it's not possible for West to gang-up on China and risk losing a major import/export market (just like Europe cannot afford losing Russia's energy imports). In America, anyone can speak up and share their opinions, but not every opinion matters. Most of the neocon warhawks sharing anti-China views are likely paid by military-industrial complex to whip up 'enemy fervor' to justify large defense budgets post-Cold War, and doesn't necessarily represent the view of Wall Street, Big Corporations, and Billionaire class who all are invested heavily in China or Greater China markets.
Already much of the high tech industry is moving into Vietnam. They also are funding backups in the US proper for their MIC.
The plan will be to make to China what they made to Iraq in the 1990s. Their current actions against Russia are a template and China should be watching carefully.
They saw it coming allright. This is why they made their own electronics payment system and debit card network "Mir".I am sure the Russians did not see that coming like them getting kicked out of SWIFT prior to invading Ukraine, it's like they don't plan anything
Their electronics payment system is connected with banks in Turkey, India, and China.
They also purged all their US treasuries and dollar reserves in the Central Bank.
What they did not expect though was that the EU would freeze their euro reserves in the Central Bank.
They gave Europe a chance to disconnect from the US. Europe has wasted their chance.
Yanukovich is discredited. They will get someone else.IMO, Russia will take Ukraine east of Dnipro river. Dnipro river cuts Kiev into two halves, a western half and a eastern half. Putin will likely install former Ukraine president Yanukovich as president of Russia backed East Ukraine which is east of Dnipro river.
A lot of this is propaganda. The famine happened allright and it was a combination of poor harvest, due to bad weather, and poor logistics to distribute the food, not to mention criminal planning. It was not a phenomenon unique to Ukraine, it also happened in Russia's agricultural region in the south, and Northern Kazakhstan. Local party leaders were way too eager to present high grain output to the central government in conditions of bad harvest and caused this to happen. At the same time Russia was duty bound to pay for Western technology imports like tractor factories in gold and wheat. The West did not accept manufactured goods as payment. This meant "excess" wheat was exported and people starved.
Half of Ukraine's trade was with Russia. They simply cut that out, did you expect good results? This is why Ukraine become the poorest country in Europe. Ukraine was better off as a neutral country with trade with both sides and only an idiot wouldn't see that.EU membership which will pull Ukraine out of economic poverty faster than Eurasian Union ever would.
So far I have seen vehicle losses which amount to like a couple of months of Russian production. Ammo losses are probably higher. But not that expensive. Yet.Something that has not really been discussed here thus far is the implications of the Russian invasion in terms of its effects on Russian national security; I.E. the material losses on Russian military forces.
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